Jack Doherty’s acceptance into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program after his November 2025 arrest on amphetamine possession, marijuana possession, and resisting-an-officer charges has anchored trader consensus at a 90% implied probability of no prison time. Prosecutors dropped the marijuana count, and successful completion of diversion terms typically results in dismissal without conviction or incarceration for first-time nonviolent offenders in similar cases. The low single-digit odds on any prison sentence reflect the misdemeanor-level exposure on the remaining counts and the program’s track record of avoiding jail for participants who comply with conditions. The market resolves by October 31, 2026, based on the first sentence imposed, leaving limited room for late surprises unless Doherty violates diversion terms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTempo de prisão de Jack Doherty?
Sem tempo de prisão 90.5%
<2 anos 7.1%
5+ Anos 2.4%
2-5 anos 1.1%
$22,872 Vol.
$22,872 Vol.
Sem tempo de prisão
91%
<2 anos
7%
2-5 anos
1%
5+ Anos
2%
Sem tempo de prisão 90.5%
<2 anos 7.1%
5+ Anos 2.4%
2-5 anos 1.1%
$22,872 Vol.
$22,872 Vol.
Sem tempo de prisão
91%
<2 anos
7%
2-5 anos
1%
5+ Anos
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty’s acceptance into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program after his November 2025 arrest on amphetamine possession, marijuana possession, and resisting-an-officer charges has anchored trader consensus at a 90% implied probability of no prison time. Prosecutors dropped the marijuana count, and successful completion of diversion terms typically results in dismissal without conviction or incarceration for first-time nonviolent offenders in similar cases. The low single-digit odds on any prison sentence reflect the misdemeanor-level exposure on the remaining counts and the program’s track record of avoiding jail for participants who comply with conditions. The market resolves by October 31, 2026, based on the first sentence imposed, leaving limited room for late surprises unless Doherty violates diversion terms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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