Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 2.4M-2.6M passengers (55.5% implied probability) for March 30 TSA screenings, with 2.6M-2.8M close behind at 45.5%, driven by recent daily throughput averaging mid-2.5M during peak spring break travel. March 26 logged 2.72 million despite ongoing government shutdown strains—over 450 officer quits, 40-50% callout rates, and four-hour lines at major hubs—following a March 22 weekend high of 2.87 million. Airlines forecast record 2.8M daily volumes through April amid Easter (April 5) buildup, but staffing chaos tempers upside, positioning lower bins as unlikely while keeping the race tight ahead of Sunday's report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado2.4M-2.6M 57%
2.6M-2.8M 46%
2.2M-2.4M 28%
<2.2M 21%
<2.2M
21%
2.2M-2.4M
28%
2.4M-2.6M
57%
2.6M-2.8M
46%
2.8M-3.0M
2%
>3.0M
1%
2.4M-2.6M 57%
2.6M-2.8M 46%
2.2M-2.4M 28%
<2.2M 21%
<2.2M
21%
2.2M-2.4M
28%
2.4M-2.6M
57%
2.6M-2.8M
46%
2.8M-3.0M
2%
>3.0M
1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 2.4M-2.6M passengers (55.5% implied probability) for March 30 TSA screenings, with 2.6M-2.8M close behind at 45.5%, driven by recent daily throughput averaging mid-2.5M during peak spring break travel. March 26 logged 2.72 million despite ongoing government shutdown strains—over 450 officer quits, 40-50% callout rates, and four-hour lines at major hubs—following a March 22 weekend high of 2.87 million. Airlines forecast record 2.8M daily volumes through April amid Easter (April 5) buildup, but staffing chaos tempers upside, positioning lower bins as unlikely while keeping the race tight ahead of Sunday's report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions