Market icon

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Market icon

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 69%

Callum Turner 22%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%

Jacob Elordi 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,610,888 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 69%

Callum Turner 22%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%

Jacob Elordi 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,610,888 Vol.

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Nenhum Bond escolhido

$242,596 Vol.

69%

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Callum Turner

$107,925 Vol.

22%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$94,118 Vol.

3%

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Jacob Elordi

$216,610 Vol.

3%

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Henry Cavill

$231,762 Vol.

2%

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Paul Mescal

$87,098 Vol.

1%

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Jack Lowdon

$64,057 Vol.

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$13,140 Vol.

1%

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James Norton

$100,173 Vol.

1%

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Harris Dickinson

$129,761 Vol.

1%

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Tom Holland

$60,075 Vol.

1%

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Tom Hardy

$62,683 Vol.

<1%

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Theo James

$17,462 Vol.

<1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$169,934 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$13,527 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being officially chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' cautious approach amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight for Denis Villeneuve's Bond 26 and persistent debunked casting rumors, including recent hoaxes like Jessie Buckley as 007. Callum Turner's 21.5% frontrunner status stems from mid-March buzz—his Polymarket odds doubled after betting sites listed him as top pick (5/4)—fueled by his rising profile in The Boys in the Boat and Berlin Film Festival coyness on speculation, though he offered no confirmation. Lower-tier contenders like Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Jacob Elordi linger from prior cycles but lack fresh momentum, with historical false alarms eroding trust; watch for guild-aligned announcements later in 2026 as precursors to any reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,610,888
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being officially chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' cautious approach amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight for Denis Villeneuve's Bond 26 and persistent debunked casting rumors, including recent hoaxes like Jessie Buckley as 007. Callum Turner's 21.5% frontrunner status stems from mid-March buzz—his Polymarket odds doubled after betting sites listed him as top pick (5/4)—fueled by his rising profile in The Boys in the Boat and Berlin Film Festival coyness on speculation, though he offered no confirmation. Lower-tier contenders like Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Jacob Elordi linger from prior cycles but lack fresh momentum, with historical false alarms eroding trust; watch for guild-aligned announcements later in 2026 as precursors to any reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,610,888
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 69%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.