Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being officially chosen soon at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' deliberate post-Daniel Craig casting process under producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson, with Amazon MGM Studios overseeing Bond 26 directed by Denis Villeneuve. No verified announcements have emerged despite script development by Steven Knight and filming eyed for late 2026, keeping the market anchored in caution amid historical delays. Rising profiles fuel minor momentum for Callum Turner (6.7%), buoyed by earlier 2026 buzz from his Masters of the Air role, and Jacob Elordi (5.3%), propelled by fresh reports of meetings with Villeneuve and an Oscar nod for Frankenstein. A mid-2026 casting decision looms as the key catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo ator de James Bond?
Próximo ator de James Bond?
Nenhum Bond escolhido 77%
Callum Turner 6.7%
Jacob Elordi 5.1%
Harris Dickinson <1%
$2,129,188 Vol.
$2,129,188 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
77%

Callum Turner
7%

Jacob Elordi
5%

Harris Dickinson
1%

James Norton
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 77%
Callum Turner 6.7%
Jacob Elordi 5.1%
Harris Dickinson <1%
$2,129,188 Vol.
$2,129,188 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
77%

Callum Turner
7%

Jacob Elordi
5%

Harris Dickinson
1%

James Norton
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being officially chosen soon at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' deliberate post-Daniel Craig casting process under producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson, with Amazon MGM Studios overseeing Bond 26 directed by Denis Villeneuve. No verified announcements have emerged despite script development by Steven Knight and filming eyed for late 2026, keeping the market anchored in caution amid historical delays. Rising profiles fuel minor momentum for Callum Turner (6.7%), buoyed by earlier 2026 buzz from his Masters of the Air role, and Jacob Elordi (5.3%), propelled by fresh reports of meetings with Villeneuve and an Oscar nod for Frankenstein. A mid-2026 casting decision looms as the key catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions