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icon for Próximo ator de James Bond?

Próximo ator de James Bond?

icon for Próximo ator de James Bond?

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 63%

Jacob Elordi 6.0%

Callum Turner 5.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.2%

Polymarket

$2,150,243 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 63%

Jacob Elordi 6.0%

Callum Turner 5.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.2%

Polymarket

$2,150,243 Vol.

icon for Nenhum Bond escolhido

Nenhum Bond escolhido

$266,244 Vol.

63%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$256,387 Vol.

6%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$140,927 Vol.

6%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$115,721 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$156,454 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$83,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$39,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$121,473 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$222,959 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$189,460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$74,333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$311,834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$87,427 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$40,889 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$43,197 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 63.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April pleas for patience on casting amid Bond 26 pre-production delays, with no official announcement despite rampant speculation. Callum Turner edges out Jacob Elordi as the slim frontrunners at 5.6% and 5.5%, fueled by Turner's persistent whispers of insider confidence and Elordi's fresh meetings with director Denis Villeneuve reported last week—yet these remain unconfirmed rumors, capping momentum in a market wary of historical franchise secrecy. Mid-2026 screen tests loom as the pivotal catalyst, underscoring the high unpredictability of 007 casting dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,150,243
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 63.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April pleas for patience on casting amid Bond 26 pre-production delays, with no official announcement despite rampant speculation. Callum Turner edges out Jacob Elordi as the slim frontrunners at 5.6% and 5.5%, fueled by Turner's persistent whispers of insider confidence and Elordi's fresh meetings with director Denis Villeneuve reported last week—yet these remain unconfirmed rumors, capping momentum in a market wary of historical franchise secrecy. Mid-2026 screen tests loom as the pivotal catalyst, underscoring the high unpredictability of 007 casting dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,150,243
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 63%, followed by "Jacob Elordi" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jacob Elordi" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.