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Próximo ator de James Bond?

icon for Próximo ator de James Bond?

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 77%

Callum Turner 6.7%

Jacob Elordi 5.1%

Harris Dickinson <1%

Polymarket

$2,129,188 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 77%

Callum Turner 6.7%

Jacob Elordi 5.1%

Harris Dickinson <1%

Polymarket

$2,129,188 Vol.

icon for Nenhum Bond escolhido

Nenhum Bond escolhido

$264,946 Vol.

77%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$139,897 Vol.

7%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$255,393 Vol.

5%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$155,504 Vol.

1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$120,159 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$82,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$38,043 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$112,376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$222,009 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$188,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$73,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$310,745 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$86,477 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$38,344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$40,591 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being officially chosen soon at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' deliberate post-Daniel Craig casting process under producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson, with Amazon MGM Studios overseeing Bond 26 directed by Denis Villeneuve. No verified announcements have emerged despite script development by Steven Knight and filming eyed for late 2026, keeping the market anchored in caution amid historical delays. Rising profiles fuel minor momentum for Callum Turner (6.7%), buoyed by earlier 2026 buzz from his Masters of the Air role, and Jacob Elordi (5.3%), propelled by fresh reports of meetings with Villeneuve and an Oscar nod for Frankenstein. A mid-2026 casting decision looms as the key catalyst.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,129,188
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being officially chosen soon at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' deliberate post-Daniel Craig casting process under producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson, with Amazon MGM Studios overseeing Bond 26 directed by Denis Villeneuve. No verified announcements have emerged despite script development by Steven Knight and filming eyed for late 2026, keeping the market anchored in caution amid historical delays. Rising profiles fuel minor momentum for Callum Turner (6.7%), buoyed by earlier 2026 buzz from his Masters of the Air role, and Jacob Elordi (5.3%), propelled by fresh reports of meetings with Villeneuve and an Oscar nod for Frankenstein. A mid-2026 casting decision looms as the key catalyst.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,129,188
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 77%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.