Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 68.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in rebooting the franchise post-Daniel Craig, with no official casting, director confirmation, or script finalized despite rumors of Denis Villeneuve helming Bond 26 and Steven Knight scripting. Callum Turner's 21.5% lead among contenders stems from a mid-March surge in betting odds—doubling overnight per platform data—fueled by his evasive responses to speculation at the Berlin Film Festival and rising profile in hits like Masters of the Air, though he hasn't confirmed interest. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (3%), Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.5%), and Henry Cavill (1.9%) track fading or unverified buzz, with April Fools' pranks like the debunked Jessie Buckley claim failing to shift sentiment. Watch for precursor signals like guild alignments or Dune: Part Three wrap-up, as casting searches reportedly ramp up later this year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPróximo ator de James Bond?
Próximo ator de James Bond?
Nenhum Bond escolhido 69%
Callum Turner 22%
Jacob Elordi 3.1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.4%
$1,613,624 Vol.
$1,613,624 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
69%

Callum Turner
22%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Henry Cavill
2%

Jack Lowdon
1%

Paul Mescal
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Tom Holland
1%

James Norton
<1%

Harris Dickinson
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 69%
Callum Turner 22%
Jacob Elordi 3.1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.4%
$1,613,624 Vol.
$1,613,624 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
69%

Callum Turner
22%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Henry Cavill
2%

Jack Lowdon
1%

Paul Mescal
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Tom Holland
1%

James Norton
<1%

Harris Dickinson
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 68.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in rebooting the franchise post-Daniel Craig, with no official casting, director confirmation, or script finalized despite rumors of Denis Villeneuve helming Bond 26 and Steven Knight scripting. Callum Turner's 21.5% lead among contenders stems from a mid-March surge in betting odds—doubling overnight per platform data—fueled by his evasive responses to speculation at the Berlin Film Festival and rising profile in hits like Masters of the Air, though he hasn't confirmed interest. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (3%), Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.5%), and Henry Cavill (1.9%) track fading or unverified buzz, with April Fools' pranks like the debunked Jessie Buckley claim failing to shift sentiment. Watch for precursor signals like guild alignments or Dune: Part Three wrap-up, as casting searches reportedly ramp up later this year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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