Trader consensus strongly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 63.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April pleas for patience on casting amid Bond 26 pre-production delays, with no official announcement despite rampant speculation. Callum Turner edges out Jacob Elordi as the slim frontrunners at 5.6% and 5.5%, fueled by Turner's persistent whispers of insider confidence and Elordi's fresh meetings with director Denis Villeneuve reported last week—yet these remain unconfirmed rumors, capping momentum in a market wary of historical franchise secrecy. Mid-2026 screen tests loom as the pivotal catalyst, underscoring the high unpredictability of 007 casting dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo ator de James Bond?
Próximo ator de James Bond?
Nenhum Bond escolhido 63%
Jacob Elordi 6.0%
Callum Turner 5.6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.2%
$2,150,243 Vol.
$2,150,243 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
63%

Jacob Elordi
6%

Callum Turner
6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 63%
Jacob Elordi 6.0%
Callum Turner 5.6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.2%
$2,150,243 Vol.
$2,150,243 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
63%

Jacob Elordi
6%

Callum Turner
6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 63.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April pleas for patience on casting amid Bond 26 pre-production delays, with no official announcement despite rampant speculation. Callum Turner edges out Jacob Elordi as the slim frontrunners at 5.6% and 5.5%, fueled by Turner's persistent whispers of insider confidence and Elordi's fresh meetings with director Denis Villeneuve reported last week—yet these remain unconfirmed rumors, capping momentum in a market wary of historical franchise secrecy. Mid-2026 screen tests loom as the pivotal catalyst, underscoring the high unpredictability of 007 casting dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions