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Próximo ator de James Bond?

icon for Próximo ator de James Bond?

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 88%

Harris Dickinson 4.7%

Callum Turner 4.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.1%

Polymarket

$2,942,490 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 88%

Harris Dickinson 4.7%

Callum Turner 4.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.1%

Polymarket

$2,942,490 Vol.

icon for Nenhum Bond escolhido

Nenhum Bond escolhido

$293,512 Vol.

88%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$218,040 Vol.

5%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$155,179 Vol.

4%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$155,340 Vol.

3%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$283,269 Vol.

2%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$450,359 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$266,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$53,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$147,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$59,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$251,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$126,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$175,324 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$248,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$59,269 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market assigns overwhelming probability to no Bond actor being selected soon because Amazon MGM Studios only recently confirmed that casting director Nina Gold has begun auditioning candidates for the next 007, with director Denis Villeneuve still finalizing the script. This early-stage process favors a deliberate search for a fresh-faced British actor in his late 20s or early 30s capable of multiple films, rather than an immediate frontrunner announcement. Buzz around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson reflects industry speculation and precursor meetings, yet traders see limited near-term resolution given the studio’s stated timeline and preference for an unannounced talent. Key upcoming catalysts include further guild and critics’ input once more auditions occur, though the field remains wide open without confirmed shortlists or offers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,942,490
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market assigns overwhelming probability to no Bond actor being selected soon because Amazon MGM Studios only recently confirmed that casting director Nina Gold has begun auditioning candidates for the next 007, with director Denis Villeneuve still finalizing the script. This early-stage process favors a deliberate search for a fresh-faced British actor in his late 20s or early 30s capable of multiple films, rather than an immediate frontrunner announcement. Buzz around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson reflects industry speculation and precursor meetings, yet traders see limited near-term resolution given the studio’s stated timeline and preference for an unannounced talent. Key upcoming catalysts include further guild and critics’ input once more auditions occur, though the field remains wide open without confirmed shortlists or offers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,942,490
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 88%, followed by "Harris Dickinson" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harris Dickinson" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.