Market icon

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Market icon

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 68%

Callum Turner 22%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,610,505 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 68%

Callum Turner 22%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,610,505 Vol.

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Nenhum Bond escolhido

$242,594 Vol.

68%

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Callum Turner

$107,923 Vol.

22%

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Jacob Elordi

$216,574 Vol.

3%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$94,114 Vol.

3%

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Henry Cavill

$231,760 Vol.

2%

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Paul Mescal

$87,096 Vol.

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$13,138 Vol.

1%

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Jack Lowdon

$64,055 Vol.

1%

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James Norton

$100,171 Vol.

1%

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Harris Dickinson

$129,759 Vol.

1%

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Tom Hardy

$62,681 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Holland

$59,727 Vol.

<1%

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Theo James

$17,459 Vol.

<1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$169,932 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$13,524 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no James Bond casting announcement in the near term at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' prolonged silence amid production delays for Bond 26 under new producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman, following the 2025 handover from Eon Productions' Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson. Callum Turner's 22% positioning stems from recent momentum, including his evasive response to 007 questions at the Berlin Film Festival last month, endorsements like Jessie Buckley's, and bookmaker favoritism (e.g., 4/6 odds from Paddy Power), doubling his Polymarket odds in early March. Lower-tier contenders like Jacob Elordi (2.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) trail amid unverified rumors, with director Denis Villeneuve expected to finalize casting later in 2026 ahead of a likely 2027 release. Recent April Fools' pranks about a female 007 highlighted the rumor mill's volatility but yielded no confirmed developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,610,505
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no James Bond casting announcement in the near term at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' prolonged silence amid production delays for Bond 26 under new producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman, following the 2025 handover from Eon Productions' Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson. Callum Turner's 22% positioning stems from recent momentum, including his evasive response to 007 questions at the Berlin Film Festival last month, endorsements like Jessie Buckley's, and bookmaker favoritism (e.g., 4/6 odds from Paddy Power), doubling his Polymarket odds in early March. Lower-tier contenders like Jacob Elordi (2.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) trail amid unverified rumors, with director Denis Villeneuve expected to finalize casting later in 2026 ahead of a likely 2027 release. Recent April Fools' pranks about a female 007 highlighted the rumor mill's volatility but yielded no confirmed developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,610,505
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 68%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.