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icon for Próximo ator de James Bond?

Próximo ator de James Bond?

icon for Próximo ator de James Bond?

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Jack Lowden 40.6%

Nenhum Bond escolhido 20.5%

Callum Turner 19.9%

Jack Barton 9.7%

Polymarket

$971,180 Vol.

Jack Lowden 40.6%

Nenhum Bond escolhido 20.5%

Callum Turner 19.9%

Jack Barton 9.7%

Polymarket

$971,180 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$169,240 Vol.

41%

icon for Nenhum Bond escolhido

Nenhum Bond escolhido

$446,868 Vol.

21%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$73,152 Vol.

20%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$42,561 Vol.

10%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$15,141 Vol.

4%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$22,235 Vol.

4%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$11,023 Vol.

3%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$13,093 Vol.

2%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$28,808 Vol.

2%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$21,919 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$11,570 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$9,885 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$11,325 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$9,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$13,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$8,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$14,454 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$4,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$7,018 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$8,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$5,695 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$8,634 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$8,016 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$5,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden has surged to the top of trader sentiment for the next James Bond thanks to his established spy-thriller credentials in *Slow Horses* and recent comments from co-star Gary Oldman indicating the role has been cast but not yet announced. This momentum has pushed Lowden ahead of Callum Turner, whose earlier endorsements from George Clooney have cooled amid shifting shortlist reports. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton briefly gained traction from casting-director buzz but trails in current implied probabilities. The sizable share for “no Bond chosen” reflects ongoing uncertainty around an official reveal, with producers Denis Villeneuve and Amazon MGM Studios expected to finalize casting by year-end amid ongoing screen tests and script refinements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$971,180
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden has surged to the top of trader sentiment for the next James Bond thanks to his established spy-thriller credentials in *Slow Horses* and recent comments from co-star Gary Oldman indicating the role has been cast but not yet announced. This momentum has pushed Lowden ahead of Callum Turner, whose earlier endorsements from George Clooney have cooled amid shifting shortlist reports. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton briefly gained traction from casting-director buzz but trails in current implied probabilities. The sizable share for “no Bond chosen” reflects ongoing uncertainty around an official reveal, with producers Denis Villeneuve and Amazon MGM Studios expected to finalize casting by year-end amid ongoing screen tests and script refinements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$971,180
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 41%, followed by "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $971.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Jack Lowden" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.