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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

Robert James-Collier 6.1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

Robert James-Collier 6.1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Callum Turner

$140 Vol.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Vol.

9%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Vol.

7%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

6%

No Bond chosen

$96 Vol.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$304 Vol.

6%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Vol.

6%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

6%

James Norton

$90 Vol.

5%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Vol.

4%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$171 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$104 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Callum Turner as the clear frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability for the next James Bond, yet the wide-open field underscores ongoing uncertainty with no official announcement from Eon Productions. Key differentiators among contenders include age alignment with the franchise's typical 30s-to-40s casting window, British nationality and accent suitability, and proven dramatic range from prestige projects. James Norton and Jacob Elordi follow at 10% and 9.5%, respectively, reflecting varied industry narratives around screen presence and box-office viability. Historical voting patterns favor established British actors with action or period-drama experience, but the absence of confirmed screen tests or studio signals keeps probabilities fluid ahead of any casting reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,973
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Callum Turner as the clear frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability for the next James Bond, yet the wide-open field underscores ongoing uncertainty with no official announcement from Eon Productions. Key differentiators among contenders include age alignment with the franchise's typical 30s-to-40s casting window, British nationality and accent suitability, and proven dramatic range from prestige projects. James Norton and Jacob Elordi follow at 10% and 9.5%, respectively, reflecting varied industry narratives around screen presence and box-office viability. Historical voting patterns favor established British actors with action or period-drama experience, but the absence of confirmed screen tests or studio signals keeps probabilities fluid ahead of any casting reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,973
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Callum Turner" at 35%, followed by "James Norton" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next James Bond actor?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Callum Turner" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Norton" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.