Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and $145 million sophomore frame have driven its domestic total past $715 million in just over two weeks, establishing overwhelming trader consensus for the 800-900 million bracket. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and historical precedents for superhero legs underpin the 87.5% implied probability, while the slim 12.7% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the remaining August runway and potential for sustained per-screen averages. With the August 31 cutoff approaching, upcoming weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength will determine whether the film pushes into the top tier of all-time domestic performers by the resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
800 - 900 milhões 88%
900M+ 12.8%
<400 milhões <1%
400 - 500 milhões <1%
$1,144,583 Vol.
$1,144,583 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
<1%
700 - 800 milhões
<1%
800 - 900 milhões
88%
900M+
13%
800 - 900 milhões 88%
900M+ 12.8%
<400 milhões <1%
400 - 500 milhões <1%
$1,144,583 Vol.
$1,144,583 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
$16,929 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
$31,724 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
$27,543 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
$42,313 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 milhões
$104,731 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900 milhões
$247,685 Vol.
88%
900M+
$673,657 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and $145 million sophomore frame have driven its domestic total past $715 million in just over two weeks, establishing overwhelming trader consensus for the 800-900 million bracket. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and historical precedents for superhero legs underpin the 87.5% implied probability, while the slim 12.7% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the remaining August runway and potential for sustained per-screen averages. With the August 31 cutoff approaching, upcoming weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength will determine whether the film pushes into the top tier of all-time domestic performers by the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,144,583Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and $145 million sophomore frame have driven its domestic total past $715 million in just over two weeks, establishing overwhelming trader consensus for the 800-900 million bracket. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and historical precedents for superhero legs underpin the 87.5% implied probability, while the slim 12.7% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the remaining August runway and potential for sustained per-screen averages. With the August 31 cutoff approaching, upcoming weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength will determine whether the film pushes into the top tier of all-time domestic performers by the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,144,583Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and $145 million sophomore frame have driven its domestic total past $715 million in just over two weeks, establishing overwhelming trader consensus for the 800-900 million bracket. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and historical precedents for superhero legs underpin the 87.5% implied probability, while the slim 12.7% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the remaining August runway and potential for sustained per-screen averages. With the August 31 cutoff approaching, upcoming weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength will determine whether the film pushes into the top tier of all-time domestic performers by the resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions