Discord's robust platform reliability, evidenced by 99.8%+ uptime across API, gateway, and client services, underpins the 79.5% market-implied probability for "No" critical incident—a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor connectivity and voice issues on March 25 and 19 resolved within hours via proactive monitoring, while the March 9 messaging outage, though affecting millions, was swiftly mitigated without meeting the severity threshold. A 2025 third-party vendor breach exposed limited user data like government IDs for ~70,000 accounts but spared Discord's core systems, prompting a vendor switch and March age verification rollout with enhanced privacy controls. Traders anticipate no escalation, though ongoing verification deployment poses a potential catalyst for disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCritical Discord Incident by April 30?
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's robust platform reliability, evidenced by 99.8%+ uptime across API, gateway, and client services, underpins the 79.5% market-implied probability for "No" critical incident—a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor connectivity and voice issues on March 25 and 19 resolved within hours via proactive monitoring, while the March 9 messaging outage, though affecting millions, was swiftly mitigated without meeting the severity threshold. A 2025 third-party vendor breach exposed limited user data like government IDs for ~70,000 accounts but spared Discord's core systems, prompting a vendor switch and March age verification rollout with enhanced privacy controls. Traders anticipate no escalation, though ongoing verification deployment poses a potential catalyst for disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$328Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's robust platform reliability, evidenced by 99.8%+ uptime across API, gateway, and client services, underpins the 79.5% market-implied probability for "No" critical incident—a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor connectivity and voice issues on March 25 and 19 resolved within hours via proactive monitoring, while the March 9 messaging outage, though affecting millions, was swiftly mitigated without meeting the severity threshold. A 2025 third-party vendor breach exposed limited user data like government IDs for ~70,000 accounts but spared Discord's core systems, prompting a vendor switch and March age verification rollout with enhanced privacy controls. Traders anticipate no escalation, though ongoing verification deployment poses a potential catalyst for disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volume
$328Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Discord's robust platform reliability, evidenced by 99.8%+ uptime across API, gateway, and client services, underpins the 79.5% market-implied probability for "No" critical incident—a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor connectivity and voice issues on March 25 and 19 resolved within hours via proactive monitoring, while the March 9 messaging outage, though affecting millions, was swiftly mitigated without meeting the severity threshold. A 2025 third-party vendor breach exposed limited user data like government IDs for ~70,000 accounts but spared Discord's core systems, prompting a vendor switch and March age verification rollout with enhanced privacy controls. Traders anticipate no escalation, though ongoing verification deployment poses a potential catalyst for disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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