Market icon
Tecnologia·AWS

Serviços Down Parlay

Market icon
Tecnologia·AWS

Serviços Down Parlay

Sim

3% acaso
Polymarket

$13,738 Vol.

Sim

3% acaso
Polymarket

$13,738 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on "No" at 97.5% for Services Down Parlay reflects the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required incidents—A AWS "disrupted" severity event, critical Discord outage, and critical Cloudflare incident—occurring between February 11 and then. While Cloudflare logged a notable outage on February 20 and minor resolved issues into early April, Discord's recent API glitches (e.g., March 30 captchas) fell short of critical classification, and AWS maintained operational stability per its health dashboard, avoiding the necessary disrupted event. This rare alignment of independent failures across diverse infrastructures underpins the strong positioning. Post-deadline, only an oracle dispute over retroactive classifications could shift resolution, though status pages confirm ongoing uptime with no tail risks materializing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$13,738
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on "No" at 97.5% for Services Down Parlay reflects the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required incidents—A AWS "disrupted" severity event, critical Discord outage, and critical Cloudflare incident—occurring between February 11 and then. While Cloudflare logged a notable outage on February 20 and minor resolved issues into early April, Discord's recent API glitches (e.g., March 30 captchas) fell short of critical classification, and AWS maintained operational stability per its health dashboard, avoiding the necessary disrupted event. This rare alignment of independent failures across diverse infrastructures underpins the strong positioning. Post-deadline, only an oracle dispute over retroactive classifications could shift resolution, though status pages confirm ongoing uptime with no tail risks materializing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$13,738
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Serviços Down Parlay" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Serviços Fora do Ar Parlay" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Serviços Down Parlay" has generated $13.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Serviços Down Parlay," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Serviços Down Parlay" is "Serviços Fora do Ar Parlay" at just 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Serviços Down Parlay" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.