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Altman previsões e probabilidades

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

1%

$915K Vol.

$34.6K Liq.

68

Ends em 7 meses

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

5%

$27.4K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

44%

$4.9K Vol.

$352 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$44.5K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

7

Ends há 5 meses

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

15%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$694K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

20

Ends em 7 meses

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Sam Altman

$243 Vol.

$256K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

86%

Adam Hamawy

$37.2K Vol.

$82.2K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

2%

$141K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

Chisinau (Doubles): Albot/Yevseyev vs Lammons/Withrow

Chisinau (Doubles): Albot/Yevseyev vs Lammons/Withrow

100%

Lammons/Withrow

$6 Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Little Rock: Tyler Zink vs Ronald Hohmann

Little Rock: Tyler Zink vs Ronald Hohmann

82%

Tyler Zink

$1.0K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

ITF Brcko: Henry Best vs Nemanja Malesevic

ITF Brcko: Henry Best vs Nemanja Malesevic

100%

Henry Best

$10.8K Vol.

$68.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

ITF Gimcheon: Alan Magadan vs Chan-Yeong Oh

ITF Gimcheon: Alan Magadan vs Chan-Yeong Oh

50%

Chan-Yeong Oh

$0 Vol.

$8 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

6%

$2.6K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov

Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov

71%

Timofey Skatov

$468 Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

ITF Kutaisi: Yanki Erel vs Kevin Edengren

ITF Kutaisi: Yanki Erel vs Kevin Edengren

90%

Yanki Erel

$9 Vol.

$596 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

ITF Monastir: Margaux Komano vs Maria Oliver Sanchez

ITF Monastir: Margaux Komano vs Maria Oliver Sanchez

89%

Maria Oliver Sanchez

$60 Vol.

$393 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

ITF Lakewood: Will Mayew vs Emon Van Loben Sels

ITF Lakewood: Will Mayew vs Emon Van Loben Sels

70%

Emon Van Loben Sels

$0 Vol.

$710 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

6%

Anthropic

$4.4K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Centurion (Doubles): Alkaya/Azkara vs Chopra/Wyk

Centurion (Doubles): Alkaya/Azkara vs Chopra/Wyk

50%

Chopra/Wyk

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

70%

$590K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Altman.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.