Market icon
Tecnologia·Jony Ive

Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Jony Ive

Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?

$114,220 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$114,220 Vol.

Polymarket

Fones de Ouvido/Fones Intra-Auriculares

$44,737 Vol.

32%

Colar

$4,622 Vol.

35%

Dispositivo de exibição montado na cabeça

$448 Vol.

34%

Relógio

$24,361 Vol.

27%

Computador (Laptop/Desktop)

$3,000 Vol.

23%

Anel

$0 Vol.

20%

Dispositivo de prender em roupas

$11,783 Vol.

19%

Óculos

$17,995 Vol.

17%

Telefone

$7,274 Vol.

23%

Tablet

$0 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's early 2026 announcements have centered on iterative large language model releases like GPT-5.4 and its mini/nano variants in March, alongside ChatGPT shopping integrations launched April 2 for enhanced product discovery, reflecting a push toward practical agentic workflows and enterprise adoption amid rising competition from Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok. A $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation, closed days ago, bolsters compute infrastructure and fuels acquisitions like Astral for developer tools, while Sora's March shutdown underscores economic challenges in video generation. Traders eye a screenless AI hardware device—potentially earbuds or pen-shaped, partnering with Jony Ive—for a second-half unveil, alongside rumored "Spud" model benchmarks that could redefine capabilities before mid-year regulatory scrutiny intensifies.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volume
$114,220
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's early 2026 announcements have centered on iterative large language model releases like GPT-5.4 and its mini/nano variants in March, alongside ChatGPT shopping integrations launched April 2 for enhanced product discovery, reflecting a push toward practical agentic workflows and enterprise adoption amid rising competition from Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok. A $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation, closed days ago, bolsters compute infrastructure and fuels acquisitions like Astral for developer tools, while Sora's March shutdown underscores economic challenges in video generation. Traders eye a screenless AI hardware device—potentially earbuds or pen-shaped, partnering with Jony Ive—for a second-half unveil, alongside rumored "Spud" model benchmarks that could redefine capabilities before mid-year regulatory scrutiny intensifies.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volume
$114,220
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Colar" at 35%, followed by "Dispositivo de exibição montado na cabeça" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?" has generated $114.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?" is "Colar" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dispositivo de exibição montado na cabeça" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.