Recent reports indicate Anthropic holds a clearer path to an earlier IPO due to active banker discussions with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley for an October 2026 debut, alongside advanced pre-IPO fundraising at roughly $900 billion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI’s fourth-quarter timeline faces headwinds from missed revenue targets reported in April, ongoing litigation with Elon Musk, and public cautions from CFO Sarah Friar that the company lacks readiness for public markets despite a recent $122 billion raise at $852 billion valuation. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward Anthropic as the more execution-ready large language model developer in the competitive AI landscape, with both firms still navigating profitability challenges and potential last-minute regulatory or structural hurdles before any listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAnthropic
$54,770 Vol.
$54,770 Vol.
Anthropic
$54,770 Vol.
$54,770 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports indicate Anthropic holds a clearer path to an earlier IPO due to active banker discussions with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley for an October 2026 debut, alongside advanced pre-IPO fundraising at roughly $900 billion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI’s fourth-quarter timeline faces headwinds from missed revenue targets reported in April, ongoing litigation with Elon Musk, and public cautions from CFO Sarah Friar that the company lacks readiness for public markets despite a recent $122 billion raise at $852 billion valuation. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward Anthropic as the more execution-ready large language model developer in the competitive AI landscape, with both firms still navigating profitability challenges and potential last-minute regulatory or structural hurdles before any listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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