Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 58.5% implied probability, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer actively discussing a fourth-quarter 2026 IPO with bankers, who anticipate a blockbuster $60 billion raise amid doubled annualized revenue to $19 billion and surging paid enterprise users. OpenAI, valued at $852 billion following its record $122 billion funding round closed April 1, has also prepped for a 2026 listing—including hiring IPO counsel—but its massive cash infusion and high $19 billion burn rate on projected $25 billion revenue introduce timeline uncertainties in the competitive frontier AI landscape. Key catalysts include regulatory filings or banker leaks by summer, with both labs racing amid intensifying model releases and partnerships.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAnthropic
$51,093 Vol.
$51,093 Vol.
31 dez 2027
Anthropic
$51,093 Vol.
$51,093 Vol.
31 dez 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 58.5% implied probability, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer actively discussing a fourth-quarter 2026 IPO with bankers, who anticipate a blockbuster $60 billion raise amid doubled annualized revenue to $19 billion and surging paid enterprise users. OpenAI, valued at $852 billion following its record $122 billion funding round closed April 1, has also prepped for a 2026 listing—including hiring IPO counsel—but its massive cash infusion and high $19 billion burn rate on projected $25 billion revenue introduce timeline uncertainties in the competitive frontier AI landscape. Key catalysts include regulatory filings or banker leaks by summer, with both labs racing amid intensifying model releases and partnerships.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$51,093Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 58.5% implied probability, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer actively discussing a fourth-quarter 2026 IPO with bankers, who anticipate a blockbuster $60 billion raise amid doubled annualized revenue to $19 billion and surging paid enterprise users. OpenAI, valued at $852 billion following its record $122 billion funding round closed April 1, has also prepped for a 2026 listing—including hiring IPO counsel—but its massive cash infusion and high $19 billion burn rate on projected $25 billion revenue introduce timeline uncertainties in the competitive frontier AI landscape. Key catalysts include regulatory filings or banker leaks by summer, with both labs racing amid intensifying model releases and partnerships.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$51,093Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic going public first at 58.5% implied probability, driven by late March reports of the Claude AI developer actively discussing a fourth-quarter 2026 IPO with bankers, who anticipate a blockbuster $60 billion raise amid doubled annualized revenue to $19 billion and surging paid enterprise users. OpenAI, valued at $852 billion following its record $122 billion funding round closed April 1, has also prepped for a 2026 listing—including hiring IPO counsel—but its massive cash infusion and high $19 billion burn rate on projected $25 billion revenue introduce timeline uncertainties in the competitive frontier AI landscape. Key catalysts include regulatory filings or banker leaks by summer, with both labs racing amid intensifying model releases and partnerships.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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