Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 87.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh Financial Times reporting on May 7 that the Claude AI developer is weighing a $50 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion pre-money valuation—up from $380 billion in its February raise. This reflects explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate via enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, outpacing rivals like OpenAI amid 80x Q1 expansion. Lower brackets languish below 3% due to this upward trajectory, while a 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or market volatility. Watch for Q2 funding closure or S-1 filing signals ahead of a possible Q4 2026 debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico (suportes inferiores)
Valor de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico (suportes inferiores)
600B+ 89%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 10%
400–600B 2.4%
<100B <1%
$292,430 Vol.
$292,430 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
89%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
10%
600B+ 89%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 10%
400–600B 2.4%
<100B <1%
$292,430 Vol.
$292,430 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<100B
$137,606 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$52,585 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$8,310 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$59,539 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$8,570 Vol.
2%
600B+
$14,387 Vol.
89%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$11,433 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 87.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh Financial Times reporting on May 7 that the Claude AI developer is weighing a $50 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion pre-money valuation—up from $380 billion in its February raise. This reflects explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate via enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, outpacing rivals like OpenAI amid 80x Q1 expansion. Lower brackets languish below 3% due to this upward trajectory, while a 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or market volatility. Watch for Q2 funding closure or S-1 filing signals ahead of a possible Q4 2026 debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$292,430Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 87.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh Financial Times reporting on May 7 that the Claude AI developer is weighing a $50 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion pre-money valuation—up from $380 billion in its February raise. This reflects explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate via enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, outpacing rivals like OpenAI amid 80x Q1 expansion. Lower brackets languish below 3% due to this upward trajectory, while a 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or market volatility. Watch for Q2 funding closure or S-1 filing signals ahead of a possible Q4 2026 debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$292,430Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion at 87.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh Financial Times reporting on May 7 that the Claude AI developer is weighing a $50 billion funding round at a near-$1 trillion pre-money valuation—up from $380 billion in its February raise. This reflects explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate via enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, outpacing rivals like OpenAI amid 80x Q1 expansion. Lower brackets languish below 3% due to this upward trajectory, while a 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or market volatility. Watch for Q2 funding closure or S-1 filing signals ahead of a possible Q4 2026 debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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