Market icon
Tecnologia·Claude 5

Pontuação antrópica de Claude no último exame da humanidade até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Claude 5

Pontuação antrópica de Claude no último exame da humanidade até 30 de junho?

$191,625 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$191,625 Vol.

Polymarket

35%+

$68,122 Vol.

96%

45%+

$78,725 Vol.

65%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Anthropic's Claude models trailing frontier benchmarks on Humanity's Last Exam, a 2,500-question multi-modal test probing expert-level knowledge across math, physics, biology, and more, where top scores hover below 45%—far from human expert performance. Claude Opus 4.6 (with chain-of-thought reasoning) achieved 34.44% on Scale AI's leaderboard as of early 2026, ranking fourth behind Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (45%) and GPT-5.4 variants, bolstered by Anthropic's February Opus 4.6 release and March's flurry of updates enhancing reasoning and tool use. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and Google intensify, but Claude 5's anticipated Q2 launch could deliver capability leaps before June 30, with resolution tied to official evals of the latest model iteration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$191,625
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Anthropic's Claude models trailing frontier benchmarks on Humanity's Last Exam, a 2,500-question multi-modal test probing expert-level knowledge across math, physics, biology, and more, where top scores hover below 45%—far from human expert performance. Claude Opus 4.6 (with chain-of-thought reasoning) achieved 34.44% on Scale AI's leaderboard as of early 2026, ranking fourth behind Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (45%) and GPT-5.4 variants, bolstered by Anthropic's February Opus 4.6 release and March's flurry of updates enhancing reasoning and tool use. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and Google intensify, but Claude 5's anticipated Q2 launch could deliver capability leaps before June 30, with resolution tied to official evals of the latest model iteration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$191,625
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pontuação antrópica de Claude no último exame da humanidade até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30%+" at 100%, followed by "35%+" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pontuação antrópica de Claude no último exame da humanidade até 30 de junho?" has generated $191.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pontuação antrópica de Claude no último exame da humanidade até 30 de junho?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pontuação antrópica de Claude no último exame da humanidade até 30 de junho?" is "30%+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35%+" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pontuação antrópica de Claude no último exame da humanidade até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.