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Claude 5 previsões e probabilidades

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Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

65%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

206

Ends há 28 dias

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

91%

9-11

$42.0K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

34%

6-8

$282 Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

26%

500.0-550.0k

$791 Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

23%

45%+

$284K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

30%

50%+

$64.6K Vol.

$786 Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Best AI model on May 30? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 30? (Style Control Off)

65%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$14.2K Vol.

$24.6K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

98%

July 31

$92.3K Vol.

$91.6K today

$45.2K Liq.

23

Ends em 2 meses

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

85%

↑ 550.0k

$193 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

18%

June 30

$392K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

22

Ends há 28 dias

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

54%

↑ 600.0k

$26.4K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

30%

$12.6K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

23

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há 14 dias

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

30%

June 15–June 21

$11.2K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

73%

July 31

$178K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

55%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

129

Ends em 7 meses

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

54%

Cloud9

$1.8K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends em 11 dias

LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs

LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs

76%

Team Heretics Academy

$0 Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Cash/Tracy vs Droguet/Gaston

Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Cash/Tracy vs Droguet/Gaston

66%

Cash/Tracy

$0 Vol.

$183 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to September 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.