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Claude 5 previsões e probabilidades

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Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

89%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

202

Ends há 7 dias

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

20%

45%+

$283K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

22%

50%+

$60.0K Vol.

$722 Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

99%

$22.3K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

68%

Anthropic

$54.0K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

88%

600B+

$292K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

2%

$16.8K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

17%

June 30

$358K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

19

Ends há 7 dias

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

44%

12+

$10.2K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

97%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$23.7K Vol.

$72.9K Liq.

5

Ends em 1 dia

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

13%

May 31

$2.8K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

84%

$47.7K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

25%

1.8T+

$13.1K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

35%

$11.3K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

23

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K Vol.

Ends há 17 dias

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

41%

160-179

$32.7K Vol.

$55.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

91%

July 31

$19.6K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

24%

80-99

$3.0K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Francavilla: Andrea Guerrieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng

Francavilla: Andrea Guerrieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng

Chun-Hsin Tseng

$131K Vol.

$126K today

Ends em 6 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to September 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.