Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence for its Claude large language models, including Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, has driven trader expectations for the next Opus flagship imminently. Recent leaks around internal checkpoints and sustained prediction-market volume on near-term deadlines reflect anticipation of incremental gains in coding benchmarks, agentic workflows, and cost-efficient performance relative to higher-tier models like Fable. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates, reinforces the current sentiment, though product timelines can shift and no official announcement has confirmed a September window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
Próximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
$107,852 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
79%
31 de outubro
99%
31 de dezembro
98%
$107,852 Vol.
30 de setembro
$47,924 Vol.
79%
31 de outubro
$13,267 Vol.
99%
31 de dezembro
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence for its Claude large language models, including Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, has driven trader expectations for the next Opus flagship imminently. Recent leaks around internal checkpoints and sustained prediction-market volume on near-term deadlines reflect anticipation of incremental gains in coding benchmarks, agentic workflows, and cost-efficient performance relative to higher-tier models like Fable. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates, reinforces the current sentiment, though product timelines can shift and no official announcement has confirmed a September window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$107,852Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence for its Claude large language models, including Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, has driven trader expectations for the next Opus flagship imminently. Recent leaks around internal checkpoints and sustained prediction-market volume on near-term deadlines reflect anticipation of incremental gains in coding benchmarks, agentic workflows, and cost-efficient performance relative to higher-tier models like Fable. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates, reinforces the current sentiment, though product timelines can shift and no official announcement has confirmed a September window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,852Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid 2026 release cadence for its Claude large language models, including Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, has driven trader expectations for the next Opus flagship imminently. Recent leaks around internal checkpoints and sustained prediction-market volume on near-term deadlines reflect anticipation of incremental gains in coding benchmarks, agentic workflows, and cost-efficient performance relative to higher-tier models like Fable. Competitive pressure from other frontier labs, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates, reinforces the current sentiment, though product timelines can shift and no official announcement has confirmed a September window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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