**Anthropic's most recent small model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering near-Sonnet 4 coding and agent performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, with extended thinking and computer-use support.** As of August 2026, it remains the active Haiku-tier offering, with deprecation not expected before October 2026. Trader sentiment for the next Haiku release (likely Haiku 5 or an incremental 4.x update) reflects Anthropic's pattern of refreshing the efficiency tier after flagship updates—Sonnet 4.5 arrived in September 2025, followed weeks later by Haiku 4.5—while the Claude 5 family (Fable 5, Opus 5, Sonnet 5) rolled out between June and July 2026. No official timeline or announcement has surfaced for a new Haiku in the past several months, creating uncertainty around whether the next version will ship as part of a full Claude 5 tier refresh or as a standalone efficiency update later in 2026. Key swing factors include Anthropic's rapid 2026 release cadence for larger models, competitive pressure from faster/cheaper offerings by rivals, and any signals from developer conferences or earnings about scaling the Haiku line for high-volume API use. The market-implied odds will likely shift on credible reporting of internal testing, API previews, or executive comments on the Haiku roadmap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEm seguida Claude Haiku libertado por...?
Em seguida Claude Haiku libertado por...?
NOVO
31 ago 2026
31 de agosto
40%
31 de outubro
66%
31 de dezembro
72%
$5,260 Vol.
31 de agosto
$1,272 Vol.
40%
31 de outubro
$560 Vol.
66%
31 de dezembro
$3,428 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic's most recent small model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering near-Sonnet 4 coding and agent performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, with extended thinking and computer-use support.** As of August 2026, it remains the active Haiku-tier offering, with deprecation not expected before October 2026.
Trader sentiment for the next Haiku release (likely Haiku 5 or an incremental 4.x update) reflects Anthropic's pattern of refreshing the efficiency tier after flagship updates—Sonnet 4.5 arrived in September 2025, followed weeks later by Haiku 4.5—while the Claude 5 family (Fable 5, Opus 5, Sonnet 5) rolled out between June and July 2026. No official timeline or announcement has surfaced for a new Haiku in the past several months, creating uncertainty around whether the next version will ship as part of a full Claude 5 tier refresh or as a standalone efficiency update later in 2026.
Key swing factors include Anthropic's rapid 2026 release cadence for larger models, competitive pressure from faster/cheaper offerings by rivals, and any signals from developer conferences or earnings about scaling the Haiku line for high-volume API use. The market-implied odds will likely shift on credible reporting of internal testing, API previews, or executive comments on the Haiku roadmap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$5,260Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic's most recent small model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering near-Sonnet 4 coding and agent performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, with extended thinking and computer-use support.** As of August 2026, it remains the active Haiku-tier offering, with deprecation not expected before October 2026.
Trader sentiment for the next Haiku release (likely Haiku 5 or an incremental 4.x update) reflects Anthropic's pattern of refreshing the efficiency tier after flagship updates—Sonnet 4.5 arrived in September 2025, followed weeks later by Haiku 4.5—while the Claude 5 family (Fable 5, Opus 5, Sonnet 5) rolled out between June and July 2026. No official timeline or announcement has surfaced for a new Haiku in the past several months, creating uncertainty around whether the next version will ship as part of a full Claude 5 tier refresh or as a standalone efficiency update later in 2026.
Key swing factors include Anthropic's rapid 2026 release cadence for larger models, competitive pressure from faster/cheaper offerings by rivals, and any signals from developer conferences or earnings about scaling the Haiku line for high-volume API use. The market-implied odds will likely shift on credible reporting of internal testing, API previews, or executive comments on the Haiku roadmap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,260Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic's most recent small model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering near-Sonnet 4 coding and agent performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, with extended thinking and computer-use support.** As of August 2026, it remains the active Haiku-tier offering, with deprecation not expected before October 2026. Trader sentiment for the next Haiku release (likely Haiku 5 or an incremental 4.x update) reflects Anthropic's pattern of refreshing the efficiency tier after flagship updates—Sonnet 4.5 arrived in September 2025, followed weeks later by Haiku 4.5—while the Claude 5 family (Fable 5, Opus 5, Sonnet 5) rolled out between June and July 2026. No official timeline or announcement has surfaced for a new Haiku in the past several months, creating uncertainty around whether the next version will ship as part of a full Claude 5 tier refresh or as a standalone efficiency update later in 2026. Key swing factors include Anthropic's rapid 2026 release cadence for larger models, competitive pressure from faster/cheaper offerings by rivals, and any signals from developer conferences or earnings about scaling the Haiku line for high-volume API use. The market-implied odds will likely shift on credible reporting of internal testing, API previews, or executive comments on the Haiku roadmap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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