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Tecnologia·Claude 5

Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Claude 5

Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?

Sim

95% acaso
Polymarket

$11,716 Vol.

Sim

95% acaso
Polymarket

$11,716 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94.5% implied probability for Anthropic achieving a $500 billion-plus valuation by year-end 2026, propelled by its February Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—more than doubling the prior mark amid explosive revenue growth to a $19 billion annualized run-rate from Claude large language model adoption in enterprise AI. Backed by Amazon, Google, and others, Anthropic's upwardly revised forecasts ($55 billion potential 2026 revenue) and secondary market strength, including $2 billion in queued institutional bids and Bloomberg-reported $600 billion round talks, signal strong momentum toward a Q4 IPO. Realistic challenges include sustained high model training costs delaying profitability, fierce rivalry from OpenAI and Google DeepMind, and potential AI regulatory hurdles or private market corrections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,716
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94.5% implied probability for Anthropic achieving a $500 billion-plus valuation by year-end 2026, propelled by its February Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—more than doubling the prior mark amid explosive revenue growth to a $19 billion annualized run-rate from Claude large language model adoption in enterprise AI. Backed by Amazon, Google, and others, Anthropic's upwardly revised forecasts ($55 billion potential 2026 revenue) and secondary market strength, including $2 billion in queued institutional bids and Bloomberg-reported $600 billion round talks, signal strong momentum toward a Q4 IPO. Realistic challenges include sustained high model training costs delaying profitability, fierce rivalry from OpenAI and Google DeepMind, and potential AI regulatory hurdles or private market corrections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,716
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Avaliação da Anthropic acima de $500 bilhões em 2026?" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" is "Avaliação da Anthropic acima de $500 bilhões em 2026?" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.