Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCapital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico
Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 98.7%
600B+ <1%
<100B <1%
200–300 bilhões <1%
$1,355,866 Vol.
$1,355,866 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 bilhões
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600 bilhões
<1%
600B+
1%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026
99%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 98.7%
600B+ <1%
<100B <1%
200–300 bilhões <1%
$1,355,866 Vol.
$1,355,866 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100B
$276,262 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$103,618 Vol.
<1%
200–300 bilhões
$152,083 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$104,730 Vol.
<1%
400–600 bilhões
$165,645 Vol.
<1%
600B+
$296,184 Vol.
1%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026
$257,365 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,355,866Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,355,866Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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