Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI firm is eyeing a public debut as early as Q4 2026, after securing a massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion post-money valuation. This influx of capital from backers like Amazon and Google, alongside doubled paid users and projected $19-26 billion annualized revenue run-rate, reduces urgency for an earlier listing amid competitive pressures from OpenAI. No S-1 filing has surfaced, solidifying the delay. Realistic challenges include accelerated timelines from regulatory shifts or a narrowing IPO window, though recent private market strength at $525/share on secondary platforms suggests patience prevails.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCapital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico
Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 97.0%
600B+ 1.5%
400–600 bilhões <1%
300–400B <1%
$926,811 Vol.
$926,811 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 bilhões
<1%
300–400B
1%
400–600 bilhões
1%
600B+
2%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026
97%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 97.0%
600B+ 1.5%
400–600 bilhões <1%
300–400B <1%
$926,811 Vol.
$926,811 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100B
$191,339 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$64,473 Vol.
<1%
200–300 bilhões
$121,027 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$62,135 Vol.
1%
400–600 bilhões
$93,240 Vol.
1%
600B+
$232,566 Vol.
2%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026
$162,032 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI firm is eyeing a public debut as early as Q4 2026, after securing a massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion post-money valuation. This influx of capital from backers like Amazon and Google, alongside doubled paid users and projected $19-26 billion annualized revenue run-rate, reduces urgency for an earlier listing amid competitive pressures from OpenAI. No S-1 filing has surfaced, solidifying the delay. Realistic challenges include accelerated timelines from regulatory shifts or a narrowing IPO window, though recent private market strength at $525/share on secondary platforms suggests patience prevails.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$926,811Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI firm is eyeing a public debut as early as Q4 2026, after securing a massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion post-money valuation. This influx of capital from backers like Amazon and Google, alongside doubled paid users and projected $19-26 billion annualized revenue run-rate, reduces urgency for an earlier listing amid competitive pressures from OpenAI. No S-1 filing has surfaced, solidifying the delay. Realistic challenges include accelerated timelines from regulatory shifts or a narrowing IPO window, though recent private market strength at $525/share on secondary platforms suggests patience prevails.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$926,811Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI firm is eyeing a public debut as early as Q4 2026, after securing a massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion post-money valuation. This influx of capital from backers like Amazon and Google, alongside doubled paid users and projected $19-26 billion annualized revenue run-rate, reduces urgency for an earlier listing amid competitive pressures from OpenAI. No S-1 filing has surfaced, solidifying the delay. Realistic challenges include accelerated timelines from regulatory shifts or a narrowing IPO window, though recent private market strength at $525/share on secondary platforms suggests patience prevails.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions