OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO to target a $1 trillion valuation are the dominant factors supporting the 50% implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 private round raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underscoring both its capital intensity and investor appetite, while annualized revenue has climbed above $25 billion amid persistent operating losses. Traders appear to price in a large primary offering to fund compute infrastructure and growth, tempered by the SpaceX IPO’s post-listing volatility and the broader test of AI valuations in public markets. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the S-1 to public status and further revenue inflection that could influence offering size.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$100B+ 41%
<$30B 22.4%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.6%
NOVO
NOVO
30 dez 2027
<$30B
22%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
25%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
9%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
20%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
49%
$100B+ 41%
<$30B 22.4%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.6%
NOVO
NOVO
30 dez 2027
<$30B
$603 Vol.
22%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
25%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 Vol.
9%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
20%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
3%
$100B+
$1,742 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO to target a $1 trillion valuation are the dominant factors supporting the 50% implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 private round raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underscoring both its capital intensity and investor appetite, while annualized revenue has climbed above $25 billion amid persistent operating losses. Traders appear to price in a large primary offering to fund compute infrastructure and growth, tempered by the SpaceX IPO’s post-listing volatility and the broader test of AI valuations in public markets. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the S-1 to public status and further revenue inflection that could influence offering size.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$7,324Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO to target a $1 trillion valuation are the dominant factors supporting the 50% implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 private round raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underscoring both its capital intensity and investor appetite, while annualized revenue has climbed above $25 billion amid persistent operating losses. Traders appear to price in a large primary offering to fund compute infrastructure and growth, tempered by the SpaceX IPO’s post-listing volatility and the broader test of AI valuations in public markets. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the S-1 to public status and further revenue inflection that could influence offering size.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,324Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift toward a 2027 IPO to target a $1 trillion valuation are the dominant factors supporting the 50% implied probability on a $100B+ raise. The company’s March 2026 private round raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underscoring both its capital intensity and investor appetite, while annualized revenue has climbed above $25 billion amid persistent operating losses. Traders appear to price in a large primary offering to fund compute infrastructure and growth, tempered by the SpaceX IPO’s post-listing volatility and the broader test of AI valuations in public markets. Key upcoming catalysts include any conversion of the S-1 to public status and further revenue inflection that could influence offering size.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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