OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle after the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 has positioned the week of June 15–21 as the strongest consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the company’s history of delivering incremental large language model updates every four to eight weeks. This timeline aligns with observed development patterns for enhanced reasoning, larger context windows, and agentic capabilities in prior GPT-5.x releases. The secondary probability on June 8–14 captures expectations for an even faster turnaround, while the modest share for “not released by June 28” accounts for potential slippage due to internal testing or competitive pressures. No official announcements have confirmed a specific date, underscoring how trader sentiment draws from release cadence and benchmark-driven progress rather than firm commitments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21 61%
June 8–June 14 24%
Not released by June 28 13%
June 22–June 28 5.9%
$61,802 Vol.
$61,802 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 1–June 7
2%
June 8–June 14
24%
June 15–June 21
61%
June 22–June 28
6%
Not released by June 28
13%
June 15–June 21 61%
June 8–June 14 24%
Not released by June 28 13%
June 22–June 28 5.9%
$61,802 Vol.
$61,802 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 1–June 7
$12,166 Vol.
2%
June 8–June 14
$11,127 Vol.
24%
June 15–June 21
$2,646 Vol.
61%
June 22–June 28
$2,010 Vol.
6%
Not released by June 28
$6,713 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle after the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 has positioned the week of June 15–21 as the strongest consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the company’s history of delivering incremental large language model updates every four to eight weeks. This timeline aligns with observed development patterns for enhanced reasoning, larger context windows, and agentic capabilities in prior GPT-5.x releases. The secondary probability on June 8–14 captures expectations for an even faster turnaround, while the modest share for “not released by June 28” accounts for potential slippage due to internal testing or competitive pressures. No official announcements have confirmed a specific date, underscoring how trader sentiment draws from release cadence and benchmark-driven progress rather than firm commitments.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volume
$61,802Data de Término
28 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle after the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 has positioned the week of June 15–21 as the strongest consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the company’s history of delivering incremental large language model updates every four to eight weeks. This timeline aligns with observed development patterns for enhanced reasoning, larger context windows, and agentic capabilities in prior GPT-5.x releases. The secondary probability on June 8–14 captures expectations for an even faster turnaround, while the modest share for “not released by June 28” accounts for potential slippage due to internal testing or competitive pressures. No official announcements have confirmed a specific date, underscoring how trader sentiment draws from release cadence and benchmark-driven progress rather than firm commitments.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$61,802Data de Término
28 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle after the April 2026 launch of GPT-5.5 has positioned the week of June 15–21 as the strongest consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the company’s history of delivering incremental large language model updates every four to eight weeks. This timeline aligns with observed development patterns for enhanced reasoning, larger context windows, and agentic capabilities in prior GPT-5.x releases. The secondary probability on June 8–14 captures expectations for an even faster turnaround, while the modest share for “not released by June 28” accounts for potential slippage due to internal testing or competitive pressures. No official announcements have confirmed a specific date, underscoring how trader sentiment draws from release cadence and benchmark-driven progress rather than firm commitments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions