Meta’s Muse Spark series, particularly the 1.1 variant scoring around 62% on Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards as of September 2026, drives current trader sentiment by placing the company within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 65%. This benchmark’s 2,500 expert-crafted questions across math, physics, and humanities continue to separate frontier systems, with Meta’s gains tied to expanded training infrastructure, adaptive reasoning post-training, and iterative releases that outperform earlier Llama variants while remaining competitive on cost. With roughly three months left in 2026, further model drops or scaling improvements could lift Meta’s peak closed-book or tool-augmented result before resolution, though saturation risks and protocol differences introduce uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMeta pontuação mais alta no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
Meta pontuação mais alta no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
$53,617 Vol.
31 dez 2026
55%+
36%
60%+
24%
65%+
18%
70%+
7%
$53,617 Vol.
55%+
$32,341 Vol.
36%
60%+
$11,986 Vol.
24%
65%+
$7,507 Vol.
18%
70%+
$1,783 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark series, particularly the 1.1 variant scoring around 62% on Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards as of September 2026, drives current trader sentiment by placing the company within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 65%. This benchmark’s 2,500 expert-crafted questions across math, physics, and humanities continue to separate frontier systems, with Meta’s gains tied to expanded training infrastructure, adaptive reasoning post-training, and iterative releases that outperform earlier Llama variants while remaining competitive on cost. With roughly three months left in 2026, further model drops or scaling improvements could lift Meta’s peak closed-book or tool-augmented result before resolution, though saturation risks and protocol differences introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volume
$53,617Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark series, particularly the 1.1 variant scoring around 62% on Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards as of September 2026, drives current trader sentiment by placing the company within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 65%. This benchmark’s 2,500 expert-crafted questions across math, physics, and humanities continue to separate frontier systems, with Meta’s gains tied to expanded training infrastructure, adaptive reasoning post-training, and iterative releases that outperform earlier Llama variants while remaining competitive on cost. With roughly three months left in 2026, further model drops or scaling improvements could lift Meta’s peak closed-book or tool-augmented result before resolution, though saturation risks and protocol differences introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$53,617Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Muse Spark series, particularly the 1.1 variant scoring around 62% on Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards as of September 2026, drives current trader sentiment by placing the company within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 65%. This benchmark’s 2,500 expert-crafted questions across math, physics, and humanities continue to separate frontier systems, with Meta’s gains tied to expanded training infrastructure, adaptive reasoning post-training, and iterative releases that outperform earlier Llama variants while remaining competitive on cost. With roughly three months left in 2026, further model drops or scaling improvements could lift Meta’s peak closed-book or tool-augmented result before resolution, though saturation risks and protocol differences introduce uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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