Trader consensus prices "No" at 84% implied probability for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, driven by entrenched battlefield dynamics and diplomatic freezes mirroring a playoff series locked in overtime stalemate. Ukraine's recent defensive form has improved markedly, with Zelenskiy noting the strongest frontline position in 10 months as of April 3, slowing Russian advances in Donbas per ISW assessments; Russia's rejection of Zelenskiy's Easter truce offer via drone strikes on April 2 underscores unresolved territorial "matchup" disputes and lack of momentum. External distractions from the Iran conflict have paused U.S.-mediated talks since March, while Kremlin signals on April 3 confirm no quick resolution, bolstering the "No" side's commanding lead amid ongoing mobilization and no key concessions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$386,571 Vol.
$386,571 Vol.
Sim
$386,571 Vol.
$386,571 Vol.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Mercado Aberto: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 84% implied probability for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, driven by entrenched battlefield dynamics and diplomatic freezes mirroring a playoff series locked in overtime stalemate. Ukraine's recent defensive form has improved markedly, with Zelenskiy noting the strongest frontline position in 10 months as of April 3, slowing Russian advances in Donbas per ISW assessments; Russia's rejection of Zelenskiy's Easter truce offer via drone strikes on April 2 underscores unresolved territorial "matchup" disputes and lack of momentum. External distractions from the Iran conflict have paused U.S.-mediated talks since March, while Kremlin signals on April 3 confirm no quick resolution, bolstering the "No" side's commanding lead amid ongoing mobilization and no key concessions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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