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LíBano previsões e probabilidades

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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

16%

30 de junho

$2M Vol.

$358K today

$252K Liq.

26

Ends em 4 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

30%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$143K today

$84.6K Liq.

49

Ends em 4 dias

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

86%

$81.0K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Israel se retira do Líbano por...?

Israel se retira do Líbano por...?

25%

July 31

$2M Vol.

$110K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Naim Qassem como secretário-geral do Hezbollah por...?

Naim Qassem como secretário-geral do Hezbollah por...?

16%

30 de junho de 2026

$789K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

44

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares do Líbano

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares do Líbano

6%

Movimento Amal (Amal)

$549K Vol.

$209K Liq.

15

Ends em 4 dias

O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?

O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?

18%

31 de dezembro

$3M Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

28%

$11.1K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

29%

June 30

$37.4K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

4

Ends há 27 dias

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

1%

May 31

$32.2K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

8

Ends em 4 dias

Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?

Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?

17%

Sim

$169K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

47%

$289 Vol.

$706 Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

16%

$7.3K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

43%

$0 Vol.

$174 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

50%

$0 Vol.

$41 Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LíBano.

Polymarket currently hosts 15 active markets for LíBano that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to 31 de dezembro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LíBano predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.