Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

98%

April 1

$16.5K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

13%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$221K Vol.

$101K Liq.

13

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

21%

$57.7K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

33%

$31 Vol.

$795 Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

9%

April 30

$95.9K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

50%

$162K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

21

Ends em 3 meses

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

98%

April 1

$50.8K Vol.

$36.6K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

8%

$5.8K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

37%

March 28

$173K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

25%

December 31

$925K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

96%

April 3

$58.5K Vol.

$58.2K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

46%

June 30, 2026

$410K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

20

Ends há 3 dias

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

41%

June 30

$433K Vol.

$43.1K Liq.

7

Ends em 3 meses

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

90%

March 31

$3M Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

1

Ends há 3 dias

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

45%

3

$29.6K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

100%

Bahrain

$4M Vol.

$173K today

$796K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Bahrain

$241K Vol.

$762K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

27%

Kuwait

$356K Vol.

$63.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

17%

Tunisia

$130K Vol.

$49.5K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

68%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$584K Vol.

$71.9K today

$11.5K Liq.

207

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LíBano.

Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for LíBano that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel military action against Lebanon on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran military action against ___ by March 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran military action against ___ by March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Israel. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LíBano predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.