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Cessar Fogo previsões e probabilidades

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Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

May 24

$41M Vol.

$4M today

$1M Liq.

900

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

45%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$110K today

$279K Liq.

74

Ends em 7 meses

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?

26%

June 7

$6.5K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

34%

December 31

$147K Vol.

$180K Liq.

15

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

9%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

979

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

14%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

88

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

11%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

354

Ends há 5 meses

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31, 2026

$96.0K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

37%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$98 Liq.

31

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

66%

GPT-6 released

$22M Vol.

$820K Liq.

879

Ends em 2 meses

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

86%

June 30

$10M Vol.

$2M today

$381K Liq.

245

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

23%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$134K today

$93.4K Liq.

49

Ends em 3 dias

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

81%

December 31

$197M Vol.

$9M today

$2M Liq.

4,519

Ends em 7 meses

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

16%

$482K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

19

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

16%

$208K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

28%

$980K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

5%

$567K Vol.

$56.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

18%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$352K today

$201K Liq.

26

Ends em 3 dias

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

161

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cessar Fogo.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Cessar Fogo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran ceasefire continues through...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $289.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 81% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cessar Fogo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.