Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework for technical talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz transit, and Lebanon ceasefire mechanisms. High-level participation has included U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf in Switzerland, alongside mediation by Qatar and Pakistan. As of mid-September 2026, progress remains stalled by disagreements over nuclear commitments, Iranian demands for sanctions relief and reparations, and spillover from Israel-Hezbollah clashes that have postponed further sessions. Iranian officials have recently rejected new talks pending U.S. concessions, while President Trump has signaled conditional openness. These dynamics, combined with unresolved implementation of prior steps, shape trader assessments of attendance likelihood by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$615,216 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Steve Witkoff
32%
Jared Kushner
29%
Abbas Araghchi
28%
J.D. Vance
23%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
19%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
19%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Nick Stewart
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
16%
Ishaq Dar
16%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
14%
Mohammed bin Salman
12%
Rafael Grossi
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
5%
Donald Trump
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
2%
$615,216 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$50,492 Vol.
32%
Jared Kushner
$114,564 Vol.
29%
Abbas Araghchi
$27,610 Vol.
28%
J.D. Vance
$29,331 Vol.
23%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$63,035 Vol.
19%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$40,270 Vol.
19%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$17,270 Vol.
18%
Nick Stewart
$12,960 Vol.
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$19,948 Vol.
16%
Ishaq Dar
$23,835 Vol.
16%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$54,247 Vol.
14%
Mohammed bin Salman
$5,526 Vol.
12%
Rafael Grossi
$36,303 Vol.
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$24,252 Vol.
10%
Marco Rubio
$13,864 Vol.
7%
Esmail Qaani
$12,385 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$20,123 Vol.
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
$14,506 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump
$11,489 Vol.
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$23,209 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework for technical talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz transit, and Lebanon ceasefire mechanisms. High-level participation has included U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf in Switzerland, alongside mediation by Qatar and Pakistan. As of mid-September 2026, progress remains stalled by disagreements over nuclear commitments, Iranian demands for sanctions relief and reparations, and spillover from Israel-Hezbollah clashes that have postponed further sessions. Iranian officials have recently rejected new talks pending U.S. concessions, while President Trump has signaled conditional openness. These dynamics, combined with unresolved implementation of prior steps, shape trader assessments of attendance likelihood by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$615,216Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework for technical talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz transit, and Lebanon ceasefire mechanisms. High-level participation has included U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf in Switzerland, alongside mediation by Qatar and Pakistan. As of mid-September 2026, progress remains stalled by disagreements over nuclear commitments, Iranian demands for sanctions relief and reparations, and spillover from Israel-Hezbollah clashes that have postponed further sessions. Iranian officials have recently rejected new talks pending U.S. concessions, while President Trump has signaled conditional openness. These dynamics, combined with unresolved implementation of prior steps, shape trader assessments of attendance likelihood by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$615,216Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day framework for technical talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz transit, and Lebanon ceasefire mechanisms. High-level participation has included U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf in Switzerland, alongside mediation by Qatar and Pakistan. As of mid-September 2026, progress remains stalled by disagreements over nuclear commitments, Iranian demands for sanctions relief and reparations, and spillover from Israel-Hezbollah clashes that have postponed further sessions. Iranian officials have recently rejected new talks pending U.S. concessions, while President Trump has signaled conditional openness. These dynamics, combined with unresolved implementation of prior steps, shape trader assessments of attendance likelihood by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions