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A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Market icon

A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Elon Musk 90%

Jensen Huang 2.5%

Mark Zuckerberg 1.7%

Jeff Bezos 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,453,836 Vol.

Elon Musk 90%

Jensen Huang 2.5%

Mark Zuckerberg 1.7%

Jeff Bezos 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,453,836 Vol.

Market icon

Elon Musk

$109,310 Vol.

90%

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Jensen Huang

$118,014 Vol.

3%

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Mark Zuckerberg

$115,765 Vol.

2%

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Jeff Bezos

$297,529 Vol.

1%

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Larry Page

$116,497 Vol.

1%

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Larry Ellison

$43,097 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Arnault

$260,406 Vol.

1%

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Steve Ballmer

$257,141 Vol.

1%

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Warren Buffett

$80,012 Vol.

1%

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Sergey Brin

$56,065 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, with market-implied odds at 89.5%, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth—more than triple that of challengers like Larry Page at around $257 billion—bolstered by recent Tesla stock rallies and soaring SpaceX valuations amid AI and space sector momentum. Forbes' April 2026 real-time rankings confirm Musk's lead despite a $22 billion monthly dip from market volatility, while Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's 2.5% share reflects the chipmaker's AI dominance pushing his fortune past $153 billion. Key swing factors include upcoming Tesla robotaxi reveals, Nvidia earnings, and potential tech selloffs, as the eight-month runway leaves room for dramatic shifts in stock trajectories and private valuations.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,453,836
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, with market-implied odds at 89.5%, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth—more than triple that of challengers like Larry Page at around $257 billion—bolstered by recent Tesla stock rallies and soaring SpaceX valuations amid AI and space sector momentum. Forbes' April 2026 real-time rankings confirm Musk's lead despite a $22 billion monthly dip from market volatility, while Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's 2.5% share reflects the chipmaker's AI dominance pushing his fortune past $153 billion. Key swing factors include upcoming Tesla robotaxi reveals, Nvidia earnings, and potential tech selloffs, as the eight-month runway leaves room for dramatic shifts in stock trajectories and private valuations.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,453,836
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elon Musk" at 90%, followed by "Jensen Huang" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Elon Musk" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jensen Huang" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.