SpaceX's recent confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster IPO—potentially valuing the company at $1.75 trillion or more and targeting a mid-2026 listing—has ignited trader frenzy on Polymarket without revealing a ticker symbol, leaving $X and Other in a razor-thin contest at 46.5% and 45.6% implied probabilities. The $X lead stems from Elon Musk's affinity for the branding, seen in his X platform rebrand and historical ventures like X.com, positioning it as a bold, minimalist choice amid SpaceX's dominance in reusable rocketry and Starship development. However, "Other" gains traction from conventional aerospace precedents like $SPAX or $SPACE, favored for clarity in index inclusion and institutional trading. Key swing factors include NYSE/Nasdaq ticker availability and Musk's final call, with public S-1 disclosure imminent as the resolution catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual será o ticker público da SpaceX?
Qual será o ticker público da SpaceX?
$X 49%
Outro 45.2%
$SPAX 2.3%
$SPACE 1.7%
$4,261,460 Vol.
$4,261,460 Vol.
$X
49%
Outro
45%
$SPAX
2%
$SPACE
2%
$SX
1%
$SEX
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$X 49%
Outro 45.2%
$SPAX 2.3%
$SPACE 1.7%
$4,261,460 Vol.
$4,261,460 Vol.
$X
49%
Outro
45%
$SPAX
2%
$SPACE
2%
$SX
1%
$SEX
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's recent confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster IPO—potentially valuing the company at $1.75 trillion or more and targeting a mid-2026 listing—has ignited trader frenzy on Polymarket without revealing a ticker symbol, leaving $X and Other in a razor-thin contest at 46.5% and 45.6% implied probabilities. The $X lead stems from Elon Musk's affinity for the branding, seen in his X platform rebrand and historical ventures like X.com, positioning it as a bold, minimalist choice amid SpaceX's dominance in reusable rocketry and Starship development. However, "Other" gains traction from conventional aerospace precedents like $SPAX or $SPACE, favored for clarity in index inclusion and institutional trading. Key swing factors include NYSE/Nasdaq ticker availability and Musk's final call, with public S-1 disclosure imminent as the resolution catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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