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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 50.5%

Austrália 17.8%

Grécia 7.3%

Romênia 6.5%

Polymarket

$168,965,240 Vol.

Finlândia 50.5%

Austrália 17.8%

Grécia 7.3%

Romênia 6.5%

Polymarket

$168,965,240 Vol.

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$4,977,799 Vol.

51%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$3,211,651 Vol.

18%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$4,137,618 Vol.

7%

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$3,137,142 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,239,123 Vol.

6%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,754,014 Vol.

4%

icon for Bulgária

Bulgária

$3,821,010 Vol.

2%

icon for Itália

Itália

$4,093,798 Vol.

2%

icon for França

França

$3,537,926 Vol.

2%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,380,604 Vol.

1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$2,469,010 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$5,024,843 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$4,380,591 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$2,335,442 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$3,098,767 Vol.

1%

icon for Albânia

Albânia

$7,053,110 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sérvia

Sérvia

$6,043,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$5,155,330 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$3,467,818 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polônia

Polônia

$7,295,141 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$7,519,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,090,920 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$4,042,122 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituânia

Lituânia

$5,693,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$3,897,860 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a 50.2% implied probability as the clear frontrunner on Polymarket, propelled by explosive first dress rehearsals featuring live violin fury, pyrotechnic staging, and industrial Nordic pop that has dominated bookmakers' odds and fan polls since national selections wrapped last month. Australia's Delta Goodrem qualified strongly from semi-final 2 yesterday with the crystalline ballad "Eclipse," bolstering her 17.8% share via star power and televote appeal. Greece's dramatic "Ferto" by Akylas holds 7.2% amid artsy momentum, while Romania and Israel linger as dark horses post-qualifiers. With the grand final set for May 16 in Vienna, jury votes and live televote splits remain pivotal swing factors in this volatile pre-final market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$168,965,240
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a 50.2% implied probability as the clear frontrunner on Polymarket, propelled by explosive first dress rehearsals featuring live violin fury, pyrotechnic staging, and industrial Nordic pop that has dominated bookmakers' odds and fan polls since national selections wrapped last month. Australia's Delta Goodrem qualified strongly from semi-final 2 yesterday with the crystalline ballad "Eclipse," bolstering her 17.8% share via star power and televote appeal. Greece's dramatic "Ferto" by Akylas holds 7.2% amid artsy momentum, while Romania and Israel linger as dark horses post-qualifiers. With the grand final set for May 16 in Vienna, jury votes and live televote splits remain pivotal swing factors in this volatile pre-final market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$168,965,240
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 51%, followed by "Austrália" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $169 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Austrália" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.