Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 49.6% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," fueled by standout first semi-final rehearsals featuring live violin fury, industrial staging, and fire motifs that captivated bookmakers and OGAE poll voters—topping the latter at 459 points. Australia's Delta Goodrem surged to 17.9% after a glittering "Eclipse" live performance in yesterday's second semi-final, leveraging her star power, key changes, and Swarovski spectacle for strong jury and televote potential. Greece (7.5%) and Romania (6.7%) hold as dark horses amid geopolitical boycotts impacting Israel (5.9%), with final voting Saturday at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle poised to hinge on bloc televotes versus jury preferences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Finlândia 49.6%
Austrália 17.8%
Grécia 7.7%
Romênia 6.0%
$169,325,558 Vol.
$169,325,558 Vol.

Finlândia
50%

Austrália
18%

Grécia
8%

Romênia
6%

Israel
6%

Dinamarca
4%

Bulgária
4%

Itália
2%

França
1%

Albânia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Croácia
1%

Moldávia
1%

Suécia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Malta
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Chipre
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%
Finlândia 49.6%
Austrália 17.8%
Grécia 7.7%
Romênia 6.0%
$169,325,558 Vol.
$169,325,558 Vol.

Finlândia
50%

Austrália
18%

Grécia
8%

Romênia
6%

Israel
6%

Dinamarca
4%

Bulgária
4%

Itália
2%

França
1%

Albânia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Croácia
1%

Moldávia
1%

Suécia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Malta
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Chipre
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 49.6% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," fueled by standout first semi-final rehearsals featuring live violin fury, industrial staging, and fire motifs that captivated bookmakers and OGAE poll voters—topping the latter at 459 points. Australia's Delta Goodrem surged to 17.9% after a glittering "Eclipse" live performance in yesterday's second semi-final, leveraging her star power, key changes, and Swarovski spectacle for strong jury and televote potential. Greece (7.5%) and Romania (6.7%) hold as dark horses amid geopolitical boycotts impacting Israel (5.9%), with final voting Saturday at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle poised to hinge on bloc televotes versus jury preferences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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