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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 39.1%

França 11.3%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Grécia 6.8%

Polymarket

$67,156,495 Vol.

Finlândia 39.1%

França 11.3%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Grécia 6.8%

Polymarket

$67,156,495 Vol.

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Finlândia

$2,083,944 Vol.

39%

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França

$1,531,303 Vol.

11%

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Dinamarca

$1,058,021 Vol.

10%

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Grécia

$1,444,597 Vol.

7%

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Austrália

$1,314,102 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,328,958 Vol.

4%

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Suécia

$1,044,643 Vol.

4%

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Romênia

$1,039,739 Vol.

4%

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Ucrânia

$1,223,433 Vol.

2%

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Itália

$1,634,798 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,191,039 Vol.

1%

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Chéquia

$858,698 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,084,273 Vol.

1%

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Bulgária

$1,172,704 Vol.

1%

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Moldávia

$1,385,401 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$1,036,323 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,091,657 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,564,319 Vol.

1%

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Lituânia

$2,018,001 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,527,560 Vol.

<1%

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Alemanha

$1,056,065 Vol.

<1%

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Sérvia

$1,481,230 Vol.

<1%

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Suíça

$2,540,331 Vol.

<1%

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Reino Unido

$800,926 Vol.

<1%

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Albânia

$2,845,283 Vol.

<1%

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Armênia

$2,839,375 Vol.

<1%

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Geórgia

$2,966,183 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$3,602,485 Vol.

<1%

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Polônia

$2,985,843 Vol.

<1%

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Áustria

$3,113,624 Vol.

<1%

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Estônia

$3,579,983 Vol.

<1%

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Letônia

$3,008,770 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,873,152 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$3,440,395 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijão

$3,393,192 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 39.1% implied probability, fueled by their commanding UMK 2026 victory on February 28 and the song's electrifying violin-pop fusion earning rave previews for broad jury and televote appeal—echoing past winners like Netta. France's 17-year-old Monroe vaults to 10.9% post-internal selection reveal this week for emotive "Regarde," injecting fresh buzz amid streaming traction. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 10.4% with heartfelt "Før vi går hjem," while Greece's high-energy Akylas ("Ferto") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") trail as televote dark horses. Semi-final running orders dropped April 2 position Finland seventh in the first heat, priming Vienna's May 12-14 showdown as markets eye rehearsal reveals and fan polls.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$67,156,495
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 39.1% implied probability, fueled by their commanding UMK 2026 victory on February 28 and the song's electrifying violin-pop fusion earning rave previews for broad jury and televote appeal—echoing past winners like Netta. France's 17-year-old Monroe vaults to 10.9% post-internal selection reveal this week for emotive "Regarde," injecting fresh buzz amid streaming traction. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 10.4% with heartfelt "Før vi går hjem," while Greece's high-energy Akylas ("Ferto") and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") trail as televote dark horses. Semi-final running orders dropped April 2 position Finland seventh in the first heat, priming Vienna's May 12-14 showdown as markets eye rehearsal reveals and fan polls.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$67,156,495
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 39%, followed by "França" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $67.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.