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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 37.4%

França 11.6%

Dinamarca 10.5%

Austrália 7.2%

Polymarket

$92,764,009 Vol.

Finlândia 37.4%

França 11.6%

Dinamarca 10.5%

Austrália 7.2%

Polymarket

$92,764,009 Vol.

A Finlândia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Finlândia

$2,578,281 Vol.

37%

A França vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

França

$1,886,223 Vol.

12%

A Dinamarca vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Dinamarca

$1,343,678 Vol.

11%

A Austrália vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Austrália

$1,611,540 Vol.

7%

A Grécia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Grécia

$1,844,670 Vol.

6%

Israel vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Israel

$1,681,584 Vol.

6%

A Suécia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Suécia

$1,353,186 Vol.

3%

A Itália vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Itália

$2,146,348 Vol.

3%

A Romênia vencerá a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Romênia

$1,419,164 Vol.

2%

A Ucrânia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Ucrânia

$1,609,952 Vol.

2%

A Chéquia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Chéquia

$1,175,136 Vol.

1%

A Bulgária vencerá o Eurovision 2026? icon

Bulgária

$1,712,728 Vol.

1%

Chipre vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Chipre

$1,545,127 Vol.

1%

Malta vencerá a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Malta

$1,653,488 Vol.

1%

A Moldávia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Moldávia

$1,785,423 Vol.

1%

A Croácia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Croácia

$1,653,509 Vol.

1%

Luxemburgo vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Luxemburgo

$1,907,194 Vol.

1%

A Noruega vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Noruega

$2,661,042 Vol.

1%

A Alemanha vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Alemanha

$1,803,279 Vol.

<1%

A Lituânia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Lituânia

$3,153,912 Vol.

<1%

O Reino Unido vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Reino Unido

$1,819,896 Vol.

<1%

A Áustria vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Áustria

$5,030,117 Vol.

<1%

A Bélgica vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Bélgica

$2,338,702 Vol.

<1%

A Armênia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Armênia

$3,931,718 Vol.

<1%

O Azerbaijão vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Azerbaijão

$4,428,574 Vol.

<1%

A Polônia vai vencer o Eurovision 2026? icon

Polônia

$3,890,244 Vol.

<1%

A Sérvia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Sérvia

$2,486,215 Vol.

<1%

A Suíça vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Suíça

$3,383,866 Vol.

<1%

A Albânia vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Albânia

$3,869,839 Vol.

<1%

A Estônia vencerá a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Estônia

$4,522,103 Vol.

<1%

A Letônia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Letônia

$3,878,198 Vol.

<1%

Portugal vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Portugal

$3,742,997 Vol.

<1%

San Marino vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

San Marino

$4,323,368 Vol.

<1%

A Geórgia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Geórgia

$4,123,984 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Montenegro

$4,483,322 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner to win Eurovision 2026 at 37.5% implied probability, propelled by the viral buzz around Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a striking classical violin-pop fusion that topped UMK in late February and has dominated early streaming metrics and fan polls. France's teenage soprano Monroe follows at 11.5% with her jury-friendly operatic ballad "Regarde!", internally selected in March, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surges to 10.5% on electronic pop appeal from "Før vi går hjem" amid narrowing odds gaps over the past week. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") round out top contenders. With first rehearsals kicking off April 19 in Vienna ahead of Semi-Final 1 on May 12—where Finland performs early—preview clips and staging could spark momentum shifts, as jury votes remain unpredictable against strong public sentiment.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$92,764,009
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner to win Eurovision 2026 at 37.5% implied probability, propelled by the viral buzz around Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a striking classical violin-pop fusion that topped UMK in late February and has dominated early streaming metrics and fan polls. France's teenage soprano Monroe follows at 11.5% with her jury-friendly operatic ballad "Regarde!", internally selected in March, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surges to 10.5% on electronic pop appeal from "Før vi går hjem" amid narrowing odds gaps over the past week. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") round out top contenders. With first rehearsals kicking off April 19 in Vienna ahead of Semi-Final 1 on May 12—where Finland performs early—preview clips and staging could spark momentum shifts, as jury votes remain unpredictable against strong public sentiment.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$92,764,009
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 37%, followed by "França" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $92.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.