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Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$143,425 Vol.

16 mai 2026
Polymarket

$143,425 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$5,040 Vol.

89%

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Israel

$8,004 Vol.

83%

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Denmark

$18,367 Vol.

80%

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Greece

$3,625 Vol.

78%

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Australia

$2,681 Vol.

77%

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Sweden

$575 Vol.

75%

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Ukraine

$4,832 Vol.

75%

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France

$13,429 Vol.

75%

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Italy

$8,858 Vol.

66%

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Romania

$9,917 Vol.

43%

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Moldova

$3,929 Vol.

41%

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Bulgaria

$722 Vol.

39%

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Cyprus

$13,332 Vol.

37%

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Latvia

$571 Vol.

31%

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Malta

$5,860 Vol.

29%

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Czechia

$2,889 Vol.

28%

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Croatia

$6,190 Vol.

24%

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Norway

$2,004 Vol.

19%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

18%

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United Kingdom

$434 Vol.

16%

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Lithuania

$10,568 Vol.

15%

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Luxembourg

$367 Vol.

15%

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Serbia

$8,281 Vol.

13%

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Armenia

$23 Vol.

12%

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Germany

$4,591 Vol.

10%

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Montenegro

$25 Vol.

8%

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Portugal

$119 Vol.

7%

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Switzerland

$2,206 Vol.

6%

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Belgium

$1,313 Vol.

6%

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Poland

$1,688 Vol.

5%

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San Marino

$300 Vol.

5%

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Estonia

$939 Vol.

5%

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Georgia

$217 Vol.

4%

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Azerbaijan

$829 Vol.

4%

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Austria

$703 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 top 10 finish with over 90% implied probability on Polymarket, driven by its viral classical-pop fusion, dominant fan polls, and consistent frontrunner status in betting markets since national selections wrapped last weekend. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund and Israel's Noam Bettan follow closely at 80-85%, bolstered by strong previews and televote appeal, while Greece surges on recent betting volume. All 35 entries are confirmed for Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle semis on May 12 and 14, with running orders revealed April 2 potentially shifting rehearsal buzz; jury-televote dynamics and diaspora voting remain key wildcards ahead of the May 16 final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$143,425
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 top 10 finish with over 90% implied probability on Polymarket, driven by its viral classical-pop fusion, dominant fan polls, and consistent frontrunner status in betting markets since national selections wrapped last weekend. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund and Israel's Noam Bettan follow closely at 80-85%, bolstered by strong previews and televote appeal, while Greece surges on recent betting volume. All 35 entries are confirmed for Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle semis on May 12 and 14, with running orders revealed April 2 potentially shifting rehearsal buzz; jury-televote dynamics and diaspora voting remain key wildcards ahead of the May 16 final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$143,425
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 89%, followed by "Israel" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $143.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.