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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$51,803 Vol.

16 mai 2026
Polymarket

$51,803 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$17,322 Vol.

83%

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Australia

$1,109 Vol.

53%

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Greece

$2,214 Vol.

60%

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Israel

$6,463 Vol.

58%

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Denmark

$5,905 Vol.

56%

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France

$458 Vol.

53%

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Sweden

$6,812 Vol.

36%

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Italy

$2,049 Vol.

34%

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Ukraine

$32 Vol.

34%

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Cyprus

$595 Vol.

17%

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Czechia

$60 Vol.

17%

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Bulgaria

$124 Vol.

15%

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Malta

$3,324 Vol.

15%

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Moldova

$58 Vol.

14%

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Romania

$169 Vol.

14%

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Georgia

$94 Vol.

13%

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Norway

$992 Vol.

12%

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United Kingdom

$122 Vol.

12%

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Latvia

$0 Vol.

11%

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Germany

$765 Vol.

10%

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Luxembourg

$135 Vol.

10%

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Poland

$23 Vol.

9%

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Montenegro

$127 Vol.

9%

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Albania

$356 Vol.

8%

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Armenia

$400 Vol.

8%

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Serbia

$180 Vol.

8%

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Belgium

$419 Vol.

8%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

8%

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Croatia

$228 Vol.

7%

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Switzerland

$190 Vol.

7%

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Austria

$262 Vol.

4%

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Lithuania

$342 Vol.

12%

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Estonia

$168 Vol.

4%

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Azerbaijan

$286 Vol.

4%

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San Marino

$20 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The semi-final running orders revealed yesterday for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna have ignited trader positioning, with early-to-mid slots potentially boosting frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, leading betting odds at around 37% implied win probability and strong top 5 consensus due to its anthemic appeal and Nordic bloc support. France, Denmark, Greece, and Israel trail closely, buoyed by jury-friendly staging and televote momentum from recent promo tours, including Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" remix release. All 35 entries are set post-national finals, but rehearsals from late April, combined with dual public-jury voting, remain key catalysts before semis on May 12/14 and the May 16 Grand Final at Wiener Stadthalle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$51,803
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The semi-final running orders revealed yesterday for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna have ignited trader positioning, with early-to-mid slots potentially boosting frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, leading betting odds at around 37% implied win probability and strong top 5 consensus due to its anthemic appeal and Nordic bloc support. France, Denmark, Greece, and Israel trail closely, buoyed by jury-friendly staging and televote momentum from recent promo tours, including Australia's Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" remix release. All 35 entries are set post-national finals, but rehearsals from late April, combined with dual public-jury voting, remain key catalysts before semis on May 12/14 and the May 16 Grand Final at Wiener Stadthalle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$51,803
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 83%, followed by "Greece" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $51.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.