With national selections for the 70th Eurovision Song Contest wrapping up last weekend and semi-final running orders unveiled today for the Vienna event on May 12-16, traders are pricing in frontrunners based on song quality, staging potential, and historical voting splits between juries and televote. Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads betting consensus with its high-energy chorus, vocal prowess, and balanced appeal across voter blocs, positioning it as a top-3 lock in early forecasts. Israel dominates televote odds, while Sweden's "My System" by Felicia and Denmark's entry ride Nordic momentum from strong national finals. Rehearsal buzz and semi qualification risks remain key swings before the final's combined scoring determines podium spots.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovisão 2026: Top 3
Eurovisão 2026: Top 3
$27,999 Vol.

Finlândia
71%

Grécia
45%

Dinamarca
36%

França
34%

Israel
28%

Austrália
28%

Suécia
20%

Itália
26%

Ucrânia
25%

Chipre
21%

Suíça
20%

Portugal
16%

Luxemburgo
15%

Reino Unido
14%

Lituânia
14%

Bélgica
14%

Malta
13%

Azerbaijão
13%

Moldávia
13%

Estónia
12%

Bulgária
12%

Noruega
12%

Chéquia
11%

Albânia
10%

Letônia
10%

San Marino
9%

Áustria
9%

Romênia
21%

Croácia
19%

Alemanha
8%

Sérvia
12%

Geórgia
11%

Polônia
13%

Armênia
15%

Montenegro
10%
$27,999 Vol.

Finlândia
71%

Grécia
45%

Dinamarca
36%

França
34%

Israel
28%

Austrália
28%

Suécia
20%

Itália
26%

Ucrânia
25%

Chipre
21%

Suíça
20%

Portugal
16%

Luxemburgo
15%

Reino Unido
14%

Lituânia
14%

Bélgica
14%

Malta
13%

Azerbaijão
13%

Moldávia
13%

Estónia
12%

Bulgária
12%

Noruega
12%

Chéquia
11%

Albânia
10%

Letônia
10%

San Marino
9%

Áustria
9%

Romênia
21%

Croácia
19%

Alemanha
8%

Sérvia
12%

Geórgia
11%

Polônia
13%

Armênia
15%

Montenegro
10%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections for the 70th Eurovision Song Contest wrapping up last weekend and semi-final running orders unveiled today for the Vienna event on May 12-16, traders are pricing in frontrunners based on song quality, staging potential, and historical voting splits between juries and televote. Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads betting consensus with its high-energy chorus, vocal prowess, and balanced appeal across voter blocs, positioning it as a top-3 lock in early forecasts. Israel dominates televote odds, while Sweden's "My System" by Felicia and Denmark's entry ride Nordic momentum from strong national finals. Rehearsal buzz and semi qualification risks remain key swings before the final's combined scoring determines podium spots.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions