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Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final

Market icon

Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final

$84,603 Vol.

14 mai 2026
Polymarket

$84,603 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Dinamarca

$324 Vol.

95%

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Austrália

$11,145 Vol.

91%

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Ucrânia

$1,004 Vol.

90%

Market icon

Bulgária

$4,980 Vol.

82%

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Noruega

$3,387 Vol.

80%

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Chipre

$7,010 Vol.

79%

Market icon

Malta

$467 Vol.

77%

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Romênia

$5,147 Vol.

72%

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Albânia

$3,173 Vol.

68%

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Chéquia

$24,980 Vol.

63%

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Letônia

$538 Vol.

60%

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Luxemburgo

$4,342 Vol.

38%

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Suíça

$6,214 Vol.

38%

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Armênia

$10,131 Vol.

34%

Market icon

Azerbaijão

$1,761 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order for Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle was unveiled today, a critical catalyst shaping trader sentiment for the 10 qualifiers from 15 nations including host Austria, France, the UK, Ukraine, Australia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czechia, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, Norway, and Romania. With all national selections finalized—featuring high-profile entries like Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" for Australia and Ukraine's "Ridnym" by Leléka—early previews emphasize diaspora televoting blocs, jury appeal, and historical qualification trends favoring Nordic and Balkan acts. Rehearsals begin in early May, alongside the May 12 first semi-final results, as the 50/50 jury-televote split heightens uncertainty in this competitive lineup.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$84,603
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order for Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle was unveiled today, a critical catalyst shaping trader sentiment for the 10 qualifiers from 15 nations including host Austria, France, the UK, Ukraine, Australia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czechia, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, Norway, and Romania. With all national selections finalized—featuring high-profile entries like Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" for Australia and Ukraine's "Ridnym" by Leléka—early previews emphasize diaspora televoting blocs, jury appeal, and historical qualification trends favoring Nordic and Balkan acts. Rehearsals begin in early May, alongside the May 12 first semi-final results, as the 50/50 jury-televote split heightens uncertainty in this competitive lineup.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$84,603
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dinamarca" at 95%, followed by "Austrália" at 91%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" has generated $84.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" is "Dinamarca" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Austrália" at 91%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.