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icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

$186,447 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$186,447 Vol.

Polymarket

Ariana Grande

$9,122 Vol.

Sim

Beyoncé

$950 Vol.

Não

The Weeknd

$603 Vol.

Não

Gracie Abrams

$488 Vol.

Não

Bad Bunny

$607 Vol.

No

Olivia Dean

$157,950 Vol.

No

Olivia Rodrigo

$895 Vol.

Yes

Don Toliver

$3,940 Vol.

No

Kanye West

$709 Vol.

No

Taylor Swift

$1,389 Vol.

No

Noah Kahan

$629 Vol.

No

Bruno Mars

$1,281 Vol.

No

Alex Warren

$6,167 Vol.

No

Drake

$1,716 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Billboard Hot 100 #1s in May 2026 reflected strong streaming and radio momentum for a mix of established pop, country crossover, and hip-hop acts. Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead” claimed the top spot on the May 2 chart amid high debut streams and fan engagement, while Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” extended its dominant run with sustained airplay and sales. Drake’s “Janice STFU” surged to No. 1 by month’s end, leveraging his catalog strength and timely promotion. Traders watch weekly chart updates, Spotify and Apple Music velocity, and radio adds as key signals, with genre competition and release timing often determining whether an artist secures or extends time at the summit before the final May tallies lock in.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$186,447
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Billboard Hot 100 #1s in May 2026 reflected strong streaming and radio momentum for a mix of established pop, country crossover, and hip-hop acts. Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead” claimed the top spot on the May 2 chart amid high debut streams and fan engagement, while Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” extended its dominant run with sustained airplay and sales. Drake’s “Janice STFU” surged to No. 1 by month’s end, leveraging his catalog strength and timely promotion. Traders watch weekly chart updates, Spotify and Apple Music velocity, and radio adds as key signals, with genre competition and release timing often determining whether an artist secures or extends time at the summit before the final May tallies lock in.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$186,447
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ariana Grande" at 100%, followed by "Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" has generated $186.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is "Ariana Grande" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.