Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 320-359 tweets for Elon Musk from March 24-31, 2026, implying 40-45 posts daily over the eight-day span, driven by his consistent high-velocity X activity amid Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. Recent 2025 patterns show Musk averaging 30-50 daily tweets during event-heavy weeks, fueling optimism for elevated volume, though variability from quieter periods tempers bets below 300 (8.5% for 300-319). Leading bins vie closely as differentiating factors like potential Mars mission hype or election aftermath could spike output past 380 (8.5%), while burnout risks or platform changes cap it, underscoring traders' focus on his unpredictable cultural megaphone rhythm.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 10%
280-299 9%
$599,301 Vol.
$599,301 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
8%
260-279
7%
280-299
9%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
10%
380-399
9%
400-419
6%
420-439
5%
440-459
4%
460-479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 10%
280-299 9%
$599,301 Vol.
$599,301 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
8%
260-279
7%
280-299
9%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
10%
380-399
9%
400-419
6%
420-439
5%
440-459
4%
460-479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 320-359 tweets for Elon Musk from March 24-31, 2026, implying 40-45 posts daily over the eight-day span, driven by his consistent high-velocity X activity amid Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. Recent 2025 patterns show Musk averaging 30-50 daily tweets during event-heavy weeks, fueling optimism for elevated volume, though variability from quieter periods tempers bets below 300 (8.5% for 300-319). Leading bins vie closely as differentiating factors like potential Mars mission hype or election aftermath could spike output past 380 (8.5%), while burnout risks or platform changes cap it, underscoring traders' focus on his unpredictable cultural megaphone rhythm.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions