President Biden's daily public schedule, released each morning via White House press announcements, remains the dominant factor shaping full lid calls by 6:30 PM ET, as early closures typically follow days without evening events like speeches or meetings. Recent developments show lids before 6:30 PM on March 21 and 22 amid routine domestic briefings, but delays on March 20 due to a late Oval Office session. For March 23-28, traders eye lighter midweek calendars featuring standard staff meetings on the 25th and potential campaign travel on the 26th, contrasted with quieter weekend prospects on 23rd-24th around Easter observances. Unannounced additions, such as diplomatic calls or media interactions reported by the press pool, could extend the day, underscoring schedule fluidity's impact on probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMarch 23
44%
March 24
44%
March 25
44%
March 26
44%
March 27
20%
March 28
45%
$200 Vol.
March 23
44%
March 24
44%
March 25
44%
March 26
44%
March 27
20%
March 28
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Biden's daily public schedule, released each morning via White House press announcements, remains the dominant factor shaping full lid calls by 6:30 PM ET, as early closures typically follow days without evening events like speeches or meetings. Recent developments show lids before 6:30 PM on March 21 and 22 amid routine domestic briefings, but delays on March 20 due to a late Oval Office session. For March 23-28, traders eye lighter midweek calendars featuring standard staff meetings on the 25th and potential campaign travel on the 26th, contrasted with quieter weekend prospects on 23rd-24th around Easter observances. Unannounced additions, such as diplomatic calls or media interactions reported by the press pool, could extend the day, underscoring schedule fluidity's impact on probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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