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Política·Davos

Quais países se juntarão ao Conselho de Paz até 31 de março?

Market icon
Política·Davos

Quais países se juntarão ao Conselho de Paz até 31 de março?

$3,387,298 Vol.

28 fev 2026
Polymarket

$3,387,298 Vol.

Polymarket

Rússia

$279,291 Vol.

Não

França

$65,283 Vol.

Não

Israel

$39,449 Vol.

Sim

Alemanha

$132,377 Vol.

Não

China

$119,493 Vol.

Não

Ucrânia

$80,224 Vol.

Não

Índia

$47,790 Vol.

Não

Dinamarca

$345,456 Vol.

Não

Palestina

$50,657 Vol.

Não

Países Baixos

$288,164 Vol.

Não

Itália

$202,934 Vol.

Não

Noruega

$514,366 Vol.

Não

Suécia

$226,239 Vol.

Não

Turquia

$42,616 Vol.

Sim

Reino Unido

$133,202 Vol.

Não

Bélgica

$38,549 Vol.

Não

Espanha

$100,814 Vol.

Não

Brasil

$29,525 Vol.

Não

Hungria

$20,718 Vol.

Sim

Suíça

$52,169 Vol.

Não

Finlândia

$577,983 Vol.

Não

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trump's Board of Peace initiative, chartered at Davos in January 2026 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and broader peacekeeping under UN Security Council Resolution 2803, secured 25 founding members including the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Jordan, Egypt, Indonesia, Pakistan, Turkey, Hungary, and Bulgaria.** No new countries joined in the past 30 days, as escalations in the Iran war prompted Indonesia to pause engagements and reject a reported $1 billion membership fee, while Western allies like France, Germany, UK, Norway, Sweden, and Ukraine declined invitations citing Trump's lifetime chairmanship and veto authority. With the March 31 deadline elapsed, official announcements will determine resolutions, but trader consensus implies low probabilities for additional accessions from holdouts like India or Brazil amid funding disputes and diplomatic hesitations.

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:

- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.

- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).

Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.

Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.

Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,387,298
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trump's Board of Peace initiative, chartered at Davos in January 2026 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and broader peacekeeping under UN Security Council Resolution 2803, secured 25 founding members including the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Jordan, Egypt, Indonesia, Pakistan, Turkey, Hungary, and Bulgaria.** No new countries joined in the past 30 days, as escalations in the Iran war prompted Indonesia to pause engagements and reject a reported $1 billion membership fee, while Western allies like France, Germany, UK, Norway, Sweden, and Ukraine declined invitations citing Trump's lifetime chairmanship and veto authority. With the March 31 deadline elapsed, official announcements will determine resolutions, but trader consensus implies low probabilities for additional accessions from holdouts like India or Brazil amid funding disputes and diplomatic hesitations.

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:

- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.

- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).

Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.

Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.

Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,387,298
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países se juntarão ao Conselho de Paz até 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 100%, followed by "Turquia" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países se juntarão ao Conselho de Paz até 31 de março?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países se juntarão ao Conselho de Paz até 31 de março?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países se juntarão ao Conselho de Paz até 31 de março?" is "Israel" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Turquia" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países se juntarão ao Conselho de Paz até 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.