Trader consensus prices "No" at 88.5% for Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission until his January 2026 removal, facing sentencing to prison before 2027, reflecting the opaque nature of Communist Party discipline processes for top PLA leaders. Official announcements confirmed investigations for "serious violations of discipline and law," leading to his absence from key March 2026 sessions like the Two Sessions and National People's Congress military delegation, but no formal charges, trial, or court sentencing have emerged in the three months since. Historical precedents for such high-ranking figures favor internal party expulsion over public criminal trials and incarceration, with no recent developments signaling acceleration toward resolution by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$93,235 Vol.
$93,235 Vol.
Sim
$93,235 Vol.
$93,235 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 88.5% for Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission until his January 2026 removal, facing sentencing to prison before 2027, reflecting the opaque nature of Communist Party discipline processes for top PLA leaders. Official announcements confirmed investigations for "serious violations of discipline and law," leading to his absence from key March 2026 sessions like the Two Sessions and National People's Congress military delegation, but no formal charges, trial, or court sentencing have emerged in the three months since. Historical precedents for such high-ranking figures favor internal party expulsion over public criminal trials and incarceration, with no recent developments signaling acceleration toward resolution by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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