Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026, sidelining opposition figures like María Corina Machado and Edmundo González despite their disputed 2024 election claims. Recent U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez today signals diplomatic recognition and potential economic thaw, reinforcing her hold on power amid March military high command overhauls that dismissed key Maduro loyalists like Vladimir Padrino López. Maduro trails at 14.9% on slim prospects of release or return, while Machado's 14% reflects uncertain opposition leverage absent U.S. backing; no snap elections are scheduled, leaving her consolidation as the dominant trader-implied path through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoLíder da Venezuela no final de 2026?
Líder da Venezuela no final de 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 14.9%
María Corina Machado 14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1.3%
$79,473,169 Vol.
$79,473,169 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
65%
Nicolás Maduro
15%
María Corina Machado
14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Sem Chefe de Estado
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 14.9%
María Corina Machado 14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1.3%
$79,473,169 Vol.
$79,473,169 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,270,183 Vol.
65%
Nicolás Maduro
$902,624 Vol.
15%
María Corina Machado
$865,794 Vol.
14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,284,694 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$463,070 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$754,099 Vol.
1%
Sem Chefe de Estado
$747,589 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$458,723 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,077,115 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$865,129 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$658,682 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,241,056 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,713,372 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$31,189,245 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$3,012,631 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,969,278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026, sidelining opposition figures like María Corina Machado and Edmundo González despite their disputed 2024 election claims. Recent U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez today signals diplomatic recognition and potential economic thaw, reinforcing her hold on power amid March military high command overhauls that dismissed key Maduro loyalists like Vladimir Padrino López. Maduro trails at 14.9% on slim prospects of release or return, while Machado's 14% reflects uncertain opposition leverage absent U.S. backing; no snap elections are scheduled, leaving her consolidation as the dominant trader-implied path through year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$79,473,169Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026, sidelining opposition figures like María Corina Machado and Edmundo González despite their disputed 2024 election claims. Recent U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez today signals diplomatic recognition and potential economic thaw, reinforcing her hold on power amid March military high command overhauls that dismissed key Maduro loyalists like Vladimir Padrino López. Maduro trails at 14.9% on slim prospects of release or return, while Machado's 14% reflects uncertain opposition leverage absent U.S. backing; no snap elections are scheduled, leaving her consolidation as the dominant trader-implied path through year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$79,473,169Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026, sidelining opposition figures like María Corina Machado and Edmundo González despite their disputed 2024 election claims. Recent U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez today signals diplomatic recognition and potential economic thaw, reinforcing her hold on power amid March military high command overhauls that dismissed key Maduro loyalists like Vladimir Padrino López. Maduro trails at 14.9% on slim prospects of release or return, while Machado's 14% reflects uncertain opposition leverage absent U.S. backing; no snap elections are scheduled, leaving her consolidation as the dominant trader-implied path through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions