**No new countries are expected to join the Board of Peace by June 30, supporting the 93% implied probability on “No.”** The body was formally launched in January 2026 at Davos with an initial group of roughly 25–27 founding members (primarily from the Middle East, Central Asia, and select non-Western states) signing its charter; an inaugural meeting followed in February. Since then, no additional accessions have been announced. Roughly 60 countries received invitations, but major Western governments (including the UK, France, Germany, and several others) declined or signaled non-participation over concerns about the board’s structure—Trump as lifetime chair, a $1 billion seat price, and its potential overlap with UN functions—while many others remain undecided or noncommittal. With the June 30 cutoff only weeks away and no scheduled diplomatic events or statements indicating imminent new signatories, trader consensus reflects the absence of recent momentum or catalysts for further expansion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlgum país se juntará à Junta de Paz até 30 de junho?
$40,132 Vol.
$40,132 Vol.
$40,132 Vol.
$40,132 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new country joins the Board of Peace between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new country joins the Board of Peace between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**No new countries are expected to join the Board of Peace by June 30, supporting the 93% implied probability on “No.”** The body was formally launched in January 2026 at Davos with an initial group of roughly 25–27 founding members (primarily from the Middle East, Central Asia, and select non-Western states) signing its charter; an inaugural meeting followed in February. Since then, no additional accessions have been announced. Roughly 60 countries received invitations, but major Western governments (including the UK, France, Germany, and several others) declined or signaled non-participation over concerns about the board’s structure—Trump as lifetime chair, a $1 billion seat price, and its potential overlap with UN functions—while many others remain undecided or noncommittal. With the June 30 cutoff only weeks away and no scheduled diplomatic events or statements indicating imminent new signatories, trader consensus reflects the absence of recent momentum or catalysts for further expansion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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