Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$93,994 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Dong Jun
19%
Zhang Shengmin
11%
Cai Qi
8%
Ding Xuexiang
8%
Zhao Leji
7%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Xi
4%
Wang Yi
4%
Li Qiang
4%
$93,994 Vol.
Dong Jun
$9,214 Vol.
19%
Zhang Shengmin
$12,492 Vol.
11%
Cai Qi
$23,666 Vol.
8%
Ding Xuexiang
$11,094 Vol.
8%
Zhao Leji
$6,224 Vol.
7%
Wang Huning
$4,386 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$14,926 Vol.
4%
Wang Yi
$8,016 Vol.
4%
Li Qiang
$3,976 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$93,994Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$93,994Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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