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Política·Taiwan

Xi Jinping se encontrará com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Política·Taiwan

Xi Jinping se encontrará com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?

Sim

98% acaso
Polymarket

$1,007,146 Vol.

Sim

98% acaso
Polymarket

$1,007,146 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kuomintang Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun's acceptance of Chinese President Xi Jinping's invitation for a mainland China visit from April 7 to 12 has propelled trader consensus to near-certainty on a meeting by June 30, as official statements and itineraries confirm a Beijing summit. This marks the first KMT chairperson trip in a decade, aimed at cross-strait dialogue amid heightened tensions, with Cheng emphasizing peace ahead of U.S. President Trump's summit. Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council notes Beijing's goals include influencing arms procurement debates. While logistical details solidify expectations, low-probability risks like health issues, domestic backlash, or sudden geopolitical escalations could still derail the encounter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,007,146
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 27, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kuomintang Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun's acceptance of Chinese President Xi Jinping's invitation for a mainland China visit from April 7 to 12 has propelled trader consensus to near-certainty on a meeting by June 30, as official statements and itineraries confirm a Beijing summit. This marks the first KMT chairperson trip in a decade, aimed at cross-strait dialogue amid heightened tensions, with Cheng emphasizing peace ahead of U.S. President Trump's summit. Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council notes Beijing's goals include influencing arms procurement debates. While logistical details solidify expectations, low-probability risks like health issues, domestic backlash, or sudden geopolitical escalations could still derail the encounter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,007,146
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 27, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Xi Jinping se encontrará com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Xi Jinping vai se encontrar com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Xi Jinping se encontrará com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Xi Jinping se encontrará com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Xi Jinping se encontrará com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?" is "Xi Jinping vai se encontrar com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Xi Jinping se encontrará com Cheng Li-wun até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.