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Taiwan previsões e probabilidades

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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

16%

$915K Vol.

$196K today

$195K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$11M Vol.

$94.4K today

$254K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

10%

$2M Vol.

$77.1K today

$38.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

6%

$35M Vol.

$582K Liq.

73

Ends em 7 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

3%

$881K Vol.

$84.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

1%

$2M Vol.

$108K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

13%

$232K Vol.

$139K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

6%

$51.4K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

6

Ends em 7 meses

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

7%

$22.8K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

90%

Turkey

$505K Vol.

$53.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

52%

New Playboi Carti Album

$23M Vol.

$786K Liq.

887

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

81%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$121K Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

35

Ends em 5 meses

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

94%

Rigetti

$97.5K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

29%

Mexico

$338K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

16%

December 31

$131K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

1%

$1M Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

79%

$617K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

ITF Taipei: Mao Mushika vs Yu-Chen Lin

ITF Taipei: Mao Mushika vs Yu-Chen Lin

70%

Mao Mushika

$1.7K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

ITF Taipei: Naho Sato vs Feier Hu

ITF Taipei: Naho Sato vs Feier Hu

84%

Naho Sato

$94 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

ITF Taipei: Erika Sema vs Eunhye Lee

ITF Taipei: Erika Sema vs Eunhye Lee

55%

Erika Sema

$2.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taiwan.

Polymarket currently hosts 123 active markets for Taiwan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $77.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taiwan predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.