Market icon
Mundo·China

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Market icon
Mundo·China

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

NOVO
30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$2,077 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$365 Vol.

9%

December 31

$1,712 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai remains in office as of early April 2026, navigating intense legislative-executive gridlock with the opposition-led Legislative Yuan, where KMT and TPP majorities have passed symbolic censure motions—including one advancing to second reading on March 6 over his repeated refusals to countersign amendments to spending and fiscal laws. Earlier condemnations in January followed similar disputes, alongside failed petitions to the Control Yuan for impeachment, but no no-confidence vote has been tabled despite procedural tensions. President Lai Ching-te's support sustains Cho amid budget review stalemates and external pressures like his recent Japan baseball diplomacy trip, which drew Beijing condemnation. Traders weigh removal risks ahead of potential 2026 fiscal deadlines and coalition maneuvers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,077
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai remains in office as of early April 2026, navigating intense legislative-executive gridlock with the opposition-led Legislative Yuan, where KMT and TPP majorities have passed symbolic censure motions—including one advancing to second reading on March 6 over his repeated refusals to countersign amendments to spending and fiscal laws. Earlier condemnations in January followed similar disputes, alongside failed petitions to the Control Yuan for impeachment, but no no-confidence vote has been tabled despite procedural tensions. President Lai Ching-te's support sustains Cho amid budget review stalemates and external pressures like his recent Japan baseball diplomacy trip, which drew Beijing condemnation. Traders weigh removal risks ahead of potential 2026 fiscal deadlines and coalition maneuvers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,077
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 40%, followed by "June 30" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" is "December 31" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.