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Mamdani previsões e probabilidades

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Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

7%

$58.6K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

2%

$250K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

65

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

50%

$0 Vol.

$19 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

8%

$50.3K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

18%

$17.6K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

1%

$25.1K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

30%

$258K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

30

Ends em 8 meses

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$61M Liq.

738

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$590M Vol.

$2M today

$32M Liq.

928

Ends em mais de 2 anos

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

100%

Kamala

$21.4K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

76%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$119K Vol.

$77.0K Liq.

Ends em 11 dias

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

36%

Steve Bannon

$652K Vol.

$645K Liq.

15

Ends em 8 meses

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

18%

Kim Kardashian

$15.2K Vol.

$384K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

94%

Elon Musk

$12.8K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 11 dias

NYC Mayor # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

98%

20-39

$7.0K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

100%

20-39

$14.8K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends em 24 minutos

ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Semra Aksu

ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Semra Aksu

100%

Mandegar Farzami

$187 Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

ITF Monastir: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf

ITF Monastir: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf

51%

Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

77%

<5

$2.9K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

99%

<5

$17.6K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em 24 minutos

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mamdani.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Mamdani that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mamdani predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.