Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who campaigned on freezing rents for nearly one million rent-stabilized apartments, appointed six members to the nine-member Rent Guidelines Board in February 2026, granting a majority ahead of the board's annual guidelines vote expected in June for leases through September 2027. Recent board meetings, including one last week revealing landlord net operating income rose 6% last year, have highlighted financial pressures on owners, fostering skepticism despite tenant advocates' push for a zero percent adjustment. Traders' 64% consensus against a freeze before 2027 reflects the board's independence, strong landlord opposition, and Mamdani's recent property tax increase proposals, which could indirectly raise costs for renters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$243,369 Vol.
$243,369 Vol.
Sim
$243,369 Vol.
$243,369 Vol.
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 3, 2025, 9:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who campaigned on freezing rents for nearly one million rent-stabilized apartments, appointed six members to the nine-member Rent Guidelines Board in February 2026, granting a majority ahead of the board's annual guidelines vote expected in June for leases through September 2027. Recent board meetings, including one last week revealing landlord net operating income rose 6% last year, have highlighted financial pressures on owners, fostering skepticism despite tenant advocates' push for a zero percent adjustment. Traders' 64% consensus against a freeze before 2027 reflects the board's independence, strong landlord opposition, and Mamdani's recent property tax increase proposals, which could indirectly raise costs for renters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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