Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$71,713 Vol.
$71,713 Vol.
20 jan 2029
Sim
$71,713 Vol.
$71,713 Vol.
20 jan 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$71,713Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$71,713Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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