Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.6%) amid escalating U.S. military actions against Iran, a key Russian ally, including strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, drawing sharp condemnation from Putin. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed the Iran conflict and Ukraine peace prospects but yielded no in-person summit plans, reinforcing diplomatic caution less than a year after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on U.S. soil. With Trump's administration prioritizing Middle East de-escalation signals and ongoing tensions, neutral venues like Gulf countries or Switzerland see minimal odds (under 3%), as no host proposals or scheduled diplomacy have emerged to shift the crowded wisdom of the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNenhum encontro até 30 de junho 87.7%
Outro país da UE 2.8%
País do Golfo 2.0%
Outro 2.0%
$4,620,094 Vol.
$4,620,094 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho
88%

Outro país da UE
3%

País do Golfo
2%

Outro
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

Turquia
2%

China
1%

Rússia
1%

Suíça
1%

Bielorrússia
1%

Japão
<1%

Finlândia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Austrália
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho 87.7%
Outro país da UE 2.8%
País do Golfo 2.0%
Outro 2.0%
$4,620,094 Vol.
$4,620,094 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho
88%

Outro país da UE
3%

País do Golfo
2%

Outro
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

Turquia
2%

China
1%

Rússia
1%

Suíça
1%

Bielorrússia
1%

Japão
<1%

Finlândia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Austrália
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.6%) amid escalating U.S. military actions against Iran, a key Russian ally, including strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei in early March, drawing sharp condemnation from Putin. A March 9 phone call between the leaders addressed the Iran conflict and Ukraine peace prospects but yielded no in-person summit plans, reinforcing diplomatic caution less than a year after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on U.S. soil. With Trump's administration prioritizing Middle East de-escalation signals and ongoing tensions, neutral venues like Gulf countries or Switzerland see minimal odds (under 3%), as no host proposals or scheduled diplomacy have emerged to shift the crowded wisdom of the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions