Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around 180+ (combined ~66% implied probability across top bins), driven primarily by uncertainty in the 2024 presidential election outcome, which will shape the administration's communication strategy come March 2026. Historical data shows Trump's White House averaging 20-30 daily posts versus Biden's 10-15, fueling bets on elevated volume under a potential Republican return. Recent tightening national polls and candidate statements on social media engagement keep ranges competitive, with no clear separation. A decisive election result or post-inauguration staffing announcements could widen spreads toward higher bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCasa Branca # posts 24 de março - 31 de março de 2026?
Casa Branca # posts 24 de março - 31 de março de 2026?
200+ 38%
180-199 34%
160-179 33%
140-159 28%
<20
<1%
20-39
15%
40-59
16%
60-79
12%
80-99
19%
100-119
25%
120-139
27%
140-159
28%
160-179
33%
180-199
34%
200+
38%
200+ 38%
180-199 34%
160-179 33%
140-159 28%
<20
<1%
20-39
15%
40-59
16%
60-79
12%
80-99
19%
100-119
25%
120-139
27%
140-159
28%
160-179
33%
180-199
34%
200+
38%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around 180+ (combined ~66% implied probability across top bins), driven primarily by uncertainty in the 2024 presidential election outcome, which will shape the administration's communication strategy come March 2026. Historical data shows Trump's White House averaging 20-30 daily posts versus Biden's 10-15, fueling bets on elevated volume under a potential Republican return. Recent tightening national polls and candidate statements on social media engagement keep ranges competitive, with no clear separation. A decisive election result or post-inauguration staffing announcements could widen spreads toward higher bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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