Trader consensus on the White House X account's post volume for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 160-199 posts, implying expectations of a highly active official communication strategy reminiscent of past high-output administrations. This sentiment hinges primarily on 2024 presidential election odds, where a potential Republican victory—currently favored in related markets—could drive elevated posting rates based on historical precedents under Trump (2017-2021), which averaged far more daily updates than the current Biden era's roughly 10-15 per day. The close split between 160-179 and 180-199 bins reflects uncertainty in election polling and campaign rhetoric on media engagement. Resolution via November 2024 voting results or post-election transition announcements on press operations could sharply shift probabilities toward higher or lower ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCasa Branca # posts 20 de março - 27 de março de 2026?
Casa Branca # posts 20 de março - 27 de março de 2026?
180-199 26%
160-179 23%
200+ 18%
140-159 16%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
2%
100-119
5%
120-139
7%
140-159
16%
160-179
23%
180-199
26%
200+
18%
180-199 26%
160-179 23%
200+ 18%
140-159 16%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
2%
100-119
5%
120-139
7%
140-159
16%
160-179
23%
180-199
26%
200+
18%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the White House X account's post volume for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 160-199 posts, implying expectations of a highly active official communication strategy reminiscent of past high-output administrations. This sentiment hinges primarily on 2024 presidential election odds, where a potential Republican victory—currently favored in related markets—could drive elevated posting rates based on historical precedents under Trump (2017-2021), which averaged far more daily updates than the current Biden era's roughly 10-15 per day. The close split between 160-179 and 180-199 bins reflects uncertainty in election polling and campaign rhetoric on media engagement. Resolution via November 2024 voting results or post-election transition announcements on press operations could sharply shift probabilities toward higher or lower ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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