Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1280-1439 X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026, with 1360-1399 leading at 7.9% implied probability, mirroring March's resolved 1320-1359 total amid sustained high-volume posting on Tesla deliveries, xAI Grok upgrades, and Neuralink milestones. Early April pace averages 33 posts daily through April 3 per XTracker data, projecting toward 990 for a full 30 days but traders anticipate acceleration from viral engagement spikes, SpaceX IPO buzz, and Musk's ownership-driven platform activity. Key differentiators include potential controversy-fueled surges or lulls from executive travel; upcoming Tesla earnings and AI announcements could swing momentum, underscoring the market's razor-thin edges in this high-uncertainty celebrity posting tracker.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado1360-1399 7.9%
1280-1319 7.4%
1400-1439 6.6%
1200-1239 6.3%
$4,584,719 Vol.
$4,584,719 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
2%
880-919
2%
920-959
3%
960-999
3%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
5%
1120-1159
6%
1160-1199
5%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
7%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
8%
1400-1439
7%
1440-1479
5%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
2%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
2%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
1%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
<1%
1360-1399 7.9%
1280-1319 7.4%
1400-1439 6.6%
1200-1239 6.3%
$4,584,719 Vol.
$4,584,719 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
2%
880-919
2%
920-959
3%
960-999
3%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
5%
1120-1159
6%
1160-1199
5%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
7%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
8%
1400-1439
7%
1440-1479
5%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
2%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
2%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
1%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1280-1439 X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026, with 1360-1399 leading at 7.9% implied probability, mirroring March's resolved 1320-1359 total amid sustained high-volume posting on Tesla deliveries, xAI Grok upgrades, and Neuralink milestones. Early April pace averages 33 posts daily through April 3 per XTracker data, projecting toward 990 for a full 30 days but traders anticipate acceleration from viral engagement spikes, SpaceX IPO buzz, and Musk's ownership-driven platform activity. Key differentiators include potential controversy-fueled surges or lulls from executive travel; upcoming Tesla earnings and AI announcements could swing momentum, underscoring the market's razor-thin edges in this high-uncertainty celebrity posting tracker.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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