Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1080-1199 Elon Musk tweets in May 2026, with 1120-1159 (17.6%) and 1160-1199 (16.4%) leading narrowly, implying a steady 35-39 posts per day based on his 2024 average of roughly 1,100 monthly tweets amid heightened X engagement. Recent spikes during U.S. elections and Tesla updates have pushed volumes higher than pre-2022 norms, but fluctuations tied to news cycles—like SpaceX launches or AI debates—create tight competition across mid-range bins. Key differentiators include potential post-Trump administration dynamics reducing political output or X algorithm tweaks boosting visibility, though historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions. Watch for Q1 2026 activity as the primary sentiment driver.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado1400-1439 14.5%
1360-1399 14.0%
1520-1559 11.9%
1320-1359 11.8%
$60,988 Vol.
$60,988 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
2%
840-879
2%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
11%
1080-1119
15%
1120-1159
18%
1160-1199
16%
1200-1239
5%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
12%
1360-1399
14%
1400-1439
14%
1440-1479
8%
1480-1519
12%
1520-1559
9%
1560-1599
9%
1600-1679
11%
1680-1759
11%
1760-1839
8%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
2%
1400-1439 14.5%
1360-1399 14.0%
1520-1559 11.9%
1320-1359 11.8%
$60,988 Vol.
$60,988 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
2%
840-879
2%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
11%
1080-1119
15%
1120-1159
18%
1160-1199
16%
1200-1239
5%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
12%
1360-1399
14%
1400-1439
14%
1440-1479
8%
1480-1519
12%
1520-1559
9%
1560-1599
9%
1600-1679
11%
1680-1759
11%
1760-1839
8%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1080-1199 Elon Musk tweets in May 2026, with 1120-1159 (17.6%) and 1160-1199 (16.4%) leading narrowly, implying a steady 35-39 posts per day based on his 2024 average of roughly 1,100 monthly tweets amid heightened X engagement. Recent spikes during U.S. elections and Tesla updates have pushed volumes higher than pre-2022 norms, but fluctuations tied to news cycles—like SpaceX launches or AI debates—create tight competition across mid-range bins. Key differentiators include potential post-Trump administration dynamics reducing political output or X algorithm tweaks boosting visibility, though historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions. Watch for Q1 2026 activity as the primary sentiment driver.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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